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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Tale of the tape

10-7-0 UFC record 6-3-1
KO 6 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 0
+1 Streak +0
34 Age 32
5'8" 173 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1598 Global Elo 1594
1554 Elo rating 1554
Cody Garbrandt — Notable
At a glance
  • 60% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2015
Adrian Yanez — Notable
At a glance

Cody Garbrandt — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 490 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 5%

Adrian Yanez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 488 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 1%
  • Ground 7%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.79
5.92
div avg 4.29
40%
41%
div avg 50%
3.66
5.24
div avg 3.30
59%
56%
div avg 58%
0.85
0.00
div avg 1.75
23%
0%
div avg 37%
82%
73%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.40
1
0
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Cody Garbrandt
60% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 0
can finish?
Adrian Yanez
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Adrian Yanez
83% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Cody Garbrandt
finished 71%
5 of 7 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1546 (Cody Garbrandt) vs 1569 (Adrian Yanez).

Cody Garbrandt red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1546
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Dominick Cruz
Elo 1684 at fight time
Expected wins
9.0
+1.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1528
1481
Adrian Yanez blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1569
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tony Kelley
Elo 1533 at fight time
Expected wins
5.7
+0.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1500
1583

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO
    May 22, 2021
    Apr 8, 2023
Corner A recent form
Cody Garbrandt
Corner B recent form
Adrian Yanez
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Cody Garbrandt & Adrian Yanez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.