Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Nikita Krylov

12-10-0 UFC record
KO 5 · Sub 5 Finishes
-1 Streak
34 Age
6'3"191 cm Height
77"196 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1569 Global Elo
1520 Elo Rating

Notable

83% of wins by KO or submission
#3 in light heavyweight for Submission Attempts per 15 Min
50% of wins finished in round 1

CORNER B

Robert Whittaker

18-7-0 UFC record
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes
+1 Streak
35 Age
6'0"183 cm Height
73"185 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1682 Global Elo
1633 Elo Rating

Notable

1 successful title defense
Career-best 9-fight win streak
UFC veteran since 2012

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Other fights on this card · 11

Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden flyweight

Notable

division-context facts

Krylov

Finishes 83% of wins (5 KO · 5 SUB; 50% of wins end in round 1).

Whittaker

9 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Whittaker

Title-fight record 2–2.

Tale of the tape

12-10-0	UFC record	18-7-0
KO 5 · Sub 5	Finishes	KO 7 · Sub 0
-1	Streak	+1
34	Age	35
6'3" 191 cm	Height	6'0" 183 cm
77" 196 cm	Reach	73" 185 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1569	Global Elo	1682
1520	Elo rating	1633

Nikita Krylov — Notable ▼

At a glance

Robert Whittaker — Notable ▼

At a glance

1 successful title defense
Career-best 9-fight win streak
UFC veteran since 2012

Nikita Krylov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 689 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

59% Head

Head 59%
Body 25%
Leg 16%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

59% Distance

Distance 59%
Clinch 23%
Ground 18%

Robert Whittaker — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1489 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

72% Head

Head 72%
Body 10%
Leg 18%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

87% Distance

Distance 87%
Clinch 7%
Ground 7%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.38

4.41

div avg 4.76

54%

43%

div avg 51%

2.75

3.40

div avg 4.12

48%

59%

div avg 52%

2.19

0.71

div avg 1.35

38%

div avg 39%

53%

80%

div avg 71%

1.14

0.00

div avg 0.58

div avg 2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Nikita Krylov

83% finish rate

KO 5 · Sub 5

can finish?

Robert Whittaker

finished 57%

4 of 7 losses

Robert Whittaker

39% finish rate

KO 7 · Sub 0

can finish?

Nikita Krylov

finished 80%

8 of 10 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1605 (Nikita Krylov) vs 1620 (Robert Whittaker).

Nikita Krylov red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1605

Contender level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 12 UFC wins

Toughest win

Ryan Spann

Elo 1614 at fight time

Expected wins

10.5

+1.5 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 22 fights

1470

1668

Notable wins

Ryan Spann 1614

Robert Whittaker blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1620

Contender level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 18 UFC wins

Toughest win

Yoel Romero

Elo 1717 at fight time

Expected wins

13.0

+5.0 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 25 fights

1500

1583

Notable wins

Yoel Romero ×2 1717 Jacare Souza 1681 Kelvin Gastelum 1638 Paulo Costa 1637 Derek Brunson 1636

Corner A recent form

Nikita Krylov

L Robert Whittaker KO/TKO · R3

Jul 11, 2026
W Modestas Bukauskas KO/TKO · R3

Jan 24, 2026
L Bogdan Guskov KO/TKO · R1

Jul 26, 2025
L Dominick Reyes KO/TKO · R1

Apr 12, 2025
W Ryan Spann Submission · R1

Mar 11, 2023
W Volkan Oezdemir Decision - Unanimous

Oct 22, 2022
W Alexander Gustafsson KO/TKO · R1

Jul 23, 2022
L Paul Craig Submission · R1

Mar 19, 2022
L Magomed Ankalaev Decision - Unanimous

Feb 27, 2021
W Johnny Walker Decision - Unanimous

Mar 14, 2020
L Glover Teixeira Decision - Split

Sep 14, 2019
W Ovince Saint Preux Submission · R2

Apr 13, 2019
L Jan Blachowicz Submission · R2

Sep 15, 2018
L Misha Cirkunov Submission · R1

Dec 10, 2016
W Ed Herman KO/TKO · R2

Jul 30, 2016
W Francimar Barroso Submission · R2

May 8, 2016
W Marcos Rogerio de Lima Submission · R1

Aug 23, 2015
W Stanislav Nedkov Submission · R1

Jan 24, 2015
W Cody Donovan KO/TKO · R1

Jul 19, 2014
L Ovince Saint Preux Submission · R1

Mar 15, 2014
W Walt Harris KO/TKO · R1

Jan 25, 2014
L Soa Palelei KO/TKO · R3

Aug 31, 2013

Corner B recent form

Robert Whittaker

W Nikita Krylov KO/TKO · R3

Jul 11, 2026
L Reinier De Ridder Decision - Split

Jul 26, 2025
L Khamzat Chimaev Submission · R1

Oct 26, 2024
W Ikram Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1

Jun 22, 2024
W Paulo Costa Decision - Unanimous

Feb 17, 2024
L Dricus Du Plessis KO/TKO · R2

Jul 8, 2023
W Marvin Vettori Decision - Unanimous

Sep 3, 2022
L Israel Adesanya Decision - Unanimous

Feb 12, 2022
W Kelvin Gastelum Decision - Unanimous

Apr 17, 2021
W Jared Cannonier Decision - Unanimous

Oct 24, 2020
W Darren Till Decision - Unanimous

Jul 25, 2020
L Israel Adesanya KO/TKO · R2

Oct 5, 2019
W Yoel Romero Decision - Split

Jun 9, 2018
W Yoel Romero Decision - Unanimous

Jul 8, 2017
W Jacare Souza KO/TKO · R2

Apr 15, 2017
W Derek Brunson KO/TKO · R1

Nov 26, 2016
W Rafael Natal Decision - Unanimous

Apr 23, 2016
W Uriah Hall Decision - Unanimous

Nov 14, 2015
W Brad Tavares KO/TKO · R1

May 9, 2015
W Clint Hester KO/TKO · R2

Nov 7, 2014
W Mike Rhodes Decision - Unanimous

Jun 28, 2014
L Stephen Thompson KO/TKO · R1

Feb 22, 2014
L Court McGee Decision - Split

Aug 28, 2013
W Colton Smith KO/TKO · R3

May 25, 2013
W Brad Scott Decision - Unanimous

Dec 14, 2012

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Nikita Krylov & Robert Whittaker on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.