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✓ Ryan Gandra won · by TKO · R1

Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Ryan Gandra
#25 3-0-0
Elo 1557
VS
Corner B
Zach Reese
#48 4-4-0
Elo 1455
Final result · recorded Jul 12, 2026
Ryan Gandra
defeated Zach Reese by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 69.0% · Zach Reese 31.0%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 52.3% · Zach Reese 47.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden flyweight

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 4-4-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
+3 Streak -2
31 Age 32
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1583 Global Elo 1503
1557 Elo rating 1455
Ryan Gandra — Notable ▼
At a glance
Zach Reese — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO or submission

Ryan Gandra — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 40 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
88% Head
  • Head 88%
  • Body 8%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 30%

Zach Reese — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 261 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 13%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

10.00
4.43
div avg 4.55
48%
54%
div avg 52%
2.00
3.90
div avg 3.30
53%
44%
div avg 54%
0.00
2.80
div avg 1.53
—
61%
div avg 44%
—
55%
div avg 75%
0.00
1.02
div avg 0.46
1
3
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ryan Gandra
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Zach Reese
finished 75%
3 of 4 losses
Zach Reese
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Ryan Gandra
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Zach Reese has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1503 vs 1469, 0 quality wins to 0.

Ryan Gandra red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1469
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Zach Reese
Elo 1521 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1407
1478
Zach Reese blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1503
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Julian Marquez
Elo 1502 at fight time
Expected wins
4.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1476
1525

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Ryan Gandra
Corner B recent form
Zach Reese
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ryan Gandra & Zach Reese on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.