Other bouts 13
- 1welterweight MainConor McGregorvsMax Holloway
- 2lightweightBenoit Saint DenisvsPaddy Pimblett
- 3bantamweightCory SandhagenvsMario Bautista
- 4flyweightBrandon RoyvalvsLone'er Kavanagh
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsTerrance McKinney
- 6light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsRobert Whittaker
- 7Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsElisha Ellison
- 8bantamweightCody GarbrandtvsAdrian Yanez
- 9featherweightLuke RileyvsKai Kamaka III
- 10women's flyweightTracy CortezvsWang Cong
- 11middleweightDamian PinasvsCesar Almeida
- 12Not linkedbantamweightFarid BasharatvsJohn Garza
- 14flyweightAlessandro CostavsCody Durden
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 69.0% · Zach Reese 31.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 52.3% · Zach Reese 47.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 2-0-0 | UFC record | 4-4-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 1 |
| +2 | Streak | -2 |
| 31 | Age | 32 |
| 6'1" 185 cm | Height | 6'4" 193 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 77" 196 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 1553 | Global Elo | 1503 |
| 1527 | Elo rating | 1455 |
Ryan Gandra — Notable ▼
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Zach Reese — Notable ▼
- 50% of wins by KO or submission
Ryan Gandra — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 24 landed total · career
- Head 92%
- Body 8%
- Leg 0%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 25%
Zach Reese — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 261 landed total · career
- Head 51%
- Body 30%
- Leg 20%
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 13%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Zach Reese has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1503 vs 1464, 0 quality wins to 0.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 11, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- Jul 11, 2026
- Feb 21, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Sep 13, 2025
- May 31, 2025