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✓ Damian Pinas won · by TKO · R1

Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Damian Pinas
#21 3-0-0
Elo 1563
VS
Corner B
Cesar Almeida
#46 3-3-0
Elo 1464
Final result · recorded Jul 12, 2026
Damian Pinas
defeated Cesar Almeida by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Damian Pinas 74.5% · Cesar Almeida 25.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Damian Pinas 51.2% · Cesar Almeida 48.8%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden flyweight

Notable

Pinas

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 3-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
+3 Streak -2
24 Age 38
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
79" 201 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1589 Global Elo 1513
1563 Elo rating 1464
Damian Pinas — Notable ▼
At a glance
Cesar Almeida — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1

Damian Pinas — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 45 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 31%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 16%

Cesar Almeida — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 213 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
39% Head
  • Head 39%
  • Body 36%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.30
3.48
div avg 4.55
71%
60%
div avg 52%
5.19
2.32
div avg 3.30
41%
43%
div avg 54%
0.00
0.25
div avg 1.53
0%
33%
div avg 44%
86%
48%
div avg 75%
0.00
0.25
div avg 0.46
2
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Damian Pinas
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Cesar Almeida
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses
Cesar Almeida
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Damian Pinas
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1497 (Damian Pinas) vs 1518 (Cesar Almeida).

Damian Pinas red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1497
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cesar Almeida
Elo 1531 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1500
1461
Cesar Almeida blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1518
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Elo 1534 at fight time
Expected wins
3.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1500
1533
Corner A recent form
Damian Pinas
Corner B recent form
Cesar Almeida
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Damian Pinas & Cesar Almeida on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.