Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Damian Pinas

2-0-0 UFC record
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes
+2 Streak
24 Age
6'1"185 cm Height
79"201 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1559 Global Elo
1533 Elo Rating

Notable

2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
100% of wins by KO/TKO
100% of wins finished in round 1

CORNER B

Cesar Almeida

3-3-0 UFC record
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes
-2 Streak
38 Age
6'1"185 cm Height
74"188 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1513 Global Elo
1464 Elo Rating

Notable

67% of wins by KO/TKO
33% of wins finished in round 1

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Other fights on this card · 11

Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden flyweight

Notable

division-context facts

Pinas

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Pinas

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

2-0-0	UFC record	3-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 0	Finishes	KO 2 · Sub 0
+2	Streak	-2
24	Age	38
6'1" 185 cm	Height	6'1" 185 cm
79" 201 cm	Reach	74" 188 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1559	Global Elo	1513
1533	Elo rating	1464

Damian Pinas — Notable ▼

At a glance

2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
100% of wins by KO/TKO
100% of wins finished in round 1
86% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Cesar Almeida — Notable ▼

At a glance

Damian Pinas — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 40 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

53% Head

Head 53%
Body 18%
Leg 30%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

80% Distance

Distance 80%
Clinch 3%
Ground 18%

Cesar Almeida — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 213 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

39% Head

Head 39%
Body 36%
Leg 25%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

77% Distance

Distance 77%
Clinch 14%
Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.53

3.48

div avg 4.30

71%

60%

div avg 51%

5.53

2.32

div avg 3.32

37%

43%

div avg 54%

0.00

0.25

div avg 1.77

33%

div avg 48%

86%

48%

div avg 71%

0.00

0.25

div avg 0.54

div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Damian Pinas

100% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 0

can finish?

Cesar Almeida

finished 33%

1 of 3 losses

Cesar Almeida

67% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 0

can finish?

Damian Pinas

finished —

no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1516 (Damian Pinas) vs 1518 (Cesar Almeida).

Damian Pinas red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1516

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 2 UFC wins

Toughest win

Cesar Almeida

Elo 1531 at fight time

Expected wins

1.0

+1.0 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights

1500

1531

Cesar Almeida blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1518

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 3 UFC wins

Toughest win

Abdul Razak Alhassan

Elo 1534 at fight time

Expected wins

3.1

−0.1 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights

1500

1533

Corner A recent form

Damian Pinas

W Cesar Almeida KO/TKO · R1

Jul 11, 2026
W Wes Schultz KO/TKO · R1

Feb 28, 2026

Corner B recent form

Cesar Almeida

L Damian Pinas KO/TKO · R1

Jul 11, 2026
L Cezary Oleksiejczuk Decision - Unanimous

Dec 13, 2025
W Abdul Razak Alhassan KO/TKO · R1

Jan 11, 2025
W Ihor Potieria Decision - Unanimous

Oct 5, 2024
L Roman Kopylov Decision - Split

Jun 1, 2024
W Dylan Budka KO/TKO · R2

Apr 6, 2024

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Damian Pinas & Cesar Almeida on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.