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welterweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Corner A
Conor McGregor
10-4-0
Elo 1591
VS
Corner B
Max Holloway
#3 23-9-0
Elo 1676

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Conor McGregor 50.0%
Corner B Max Holloway 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight

Tale of the tape

10-4-0 UFC record 23-9-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 10 · Sub 2
-2 Streak -1
37 Age 34
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1645 Global Elo 1723
1591 Elo rating 1676
Conor McGregor — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 80% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Max Holloway — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 56% of wins by KO or submission
  • Career-best 13-fight win streak

Conor McGregor — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 599 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 13%

Max Holloway — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 3681 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.32
6.91
div avg 4.65
50%
48%
div avg 51%
4.66
4.61
div avg 3.84
54%
59%
div avg 54%
0.67
0.23
div avg 1.84
56%
53%
div avg 38%
67%
81%
div avg 72%
0.13
0.28
div avg 0.62
2
1
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Conor McGregor
80% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Max Holloway
finished 22%
2 of 9 losses
Max Holloway
52% finish rate
KO 10 · Sub 2
can finish?
Conor McGregor
finished 100%
4 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1685 (Conor McGregor) vs 1682 (Max Holloway).

Conor McGregor red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1685
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jose Aldo
Elo 1730 at fight time
Expected wins
7.3
+2.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights
1584
1728
Notable wins
Jose Aldo 1730 Donald Cerrone 1667 Nate Diaz 1649 Chad Mendes 1634 Dustin Poirier 1623
Max Holloway blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1682
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
13
of 23 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jose Aldo
Elo 1724 at fight time
Expected wins
17.1
+5.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 32 fights
1589
1723
Notable wins
Jose Aldo ×2 1724 Dustin Poirier 1700 Arnold Allen 1699 Frankie Edgar 1697 Brian Ortega 1694

Common opponents

5 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    W
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jul 10, 2021
    Jul 19, 2025
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    L
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
    Submission
    Jul 10, 2021
    Feb 4, 2012
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    L
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jul 10, 2021
    Apr 13, 2019
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    W
    KO/TKO
    KO/TKO
    Dec 12, 2015
    Dec 2, 2017
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    W
    KO/TKO
    KO/TKO
    Dec 12, 2015
    Jun 3, 2017
Corner A recent form
Conor McGregor
Corner B recent form
Max Holloway
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Conor McGregor & Max Holloway on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.