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✓ Max Holloway won · by TKO · R1
welterweight
Other bouts 13
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Conor McGregor
#13 10-5-0
Elo 1618
VS
Corner B
Max Holloway
#2 24-9-0
Elo 1690
Final result · recorded Jul 12, 2026
Max Holloway
defeated Conor McGregor by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Conor McGregor 22.9% · Max Holloway 77.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Conor McGregor 39.0% · Max Holloway 61.0%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight Nikita Krylov vs Robert Whittaker light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden flyweight

Notable

McGregor

Finishes 80% of wins (8 KO; 50% of wins end in round 1).

McGregor

10 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.

Holloway

13 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.

McGregor

Title-fight record 3–1.

Holloway

Title-fight record 5–5.

McGregor

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

10-5-0 UFC record 24-9-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 12 · Sub 2
-3 Streak +1
38 Age 34
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1665 Global Elo 1740
1618 Elo rating 1690
Conor McGregor — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 80% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Max Holloway — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • 58% of wins by KO or submission
  • Career-best 13-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2012

Conor McGregor — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 599 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 13%

Max Holloway — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 3693 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.27
6.92
div avg 4.23
50%
48%
div avg 50%
4.71
4.60
div avg 3.15
54%
59%
div avg 56%
0.66
0.22
div avg 1.89
56%
53%
div avg 43%
67%
81%
div avg 71%
0.13
0.28
div avg 0.43
2
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Conor McGregor
80% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Max Holloway
finished 22%
2 of 9 losses
Max Holloway
58% finish rate
KO 12 · Sub 2
can finish?
Conor McGregor
finished 100%
5 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1708 (Conor McGregor) vs 1694 (Max Holloway).

Conor McGregor red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1708
Elite slate
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jose Aldo
Elo 1730 at fight time
Expected wins
7.7
+2.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 15 fights
1584
1724
Notable wins
Jose Aldo 1730 Donald Cerrone 1667 Nate Diaz 1649 Chad Mendes 1634 Dustin Poirier 1625
Max Holloway blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1694
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
14
of 24 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jose Aldo
Elo 1724 at fight time
Expected wins
17.6
+6.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 33 fights
1589
1681
Notable wins
Jose Aldo ×2 1724 Dustin Poirier 1700 Arnold Allen 1699 Frankie Edgar 1697 Brian Ortega 1694

Common opponents

5 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    W
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R1
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jul 10, 2021
    Jul 19, 2025
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    L
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R1
    Submission · R1
    Jul 10, 2021
    Feb 4, 2012
  • L
    Dustin Poirier
    L
    TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R1
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jul 10, 2021
    Apr 13, 2019
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    KO/TKO · R3
    Dec 12, 2015
    Dec 2, 2017
  • W
    Jose Aldo
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    KO/TKO · R3
    Dec 12, 2015
    Jun 3, 2017
Corner A recent form
Conor McGregor
Corner B recent form
Max Holloway
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Conor McGregor & Max Holloway on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.