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bantamweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Corner A
Cory Sandhagen
#7 11-5-0
Elo 1622
VS
Corner B
Mario Bautista
#8 11-3-0
Elo 1613

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Cory Sandhagen 50.0%
Corner B Mario Bautista 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Benoit Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett lightweight Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight

Tale of the tape

11-5-0 UFC record 11-3-0
KO 5 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 4
-1 Streak +1
34 Age 32
5'11" 180 cm Height 5'9" 175 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Switch Stance Switch
1674 Global Elo 1644
1622 Elo rating 1613
Cory Sandhagen — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 64% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2018
Mario Bautista — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Career-best 8-fight win streak

Cory Sandhagen — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1144 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 14%

Mario Bautista — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 750 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 6%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.86
5.30
div avg 4.29
45%
49%
div avg 50%
3.47
3.98
div avg 3.30
57%
55%
div avg 58%
1.15
1.91
div avg 1.75
35%
38%
div avg 37%
56%
56%
div avg 70%
0.25
0.85
div avg 0.40
3
3
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Cory Sandhagen
55% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 1
can finish?
Mario Bautista
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Mario Bautista
45% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 4
can finish?
Cory Sandhagen
finished 20%
1 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Cory Sandhagen has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1670 vs 1613, 8 quality wins to 3.

Cory Sandhagen red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1670
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
8
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Deiveson Figueiredo
Elo 1677 at fight time
Expected wins
7.9
+3.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1500
1723
Notable wins
Deiveson Figueiredo 1677 Frankie Edgar 1671 John Lineker 1665 Marlon Vera 1663 Song Yadong 1658
Mario Bautista blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1613
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jose Aldo
Elo 1682 at fight time
Expected wins
7.2
+3.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights
1569
1629
Notable wins
Jose Aldo 1682 Vinicius Oliveira 1629 Ricky Simon 1604

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Umar Nurmagomedov
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Aug 3, 2024
    Oct 25, 2025
Corner A recent form
Cory Sandhagen
Corner B recent form
Mario Bautista
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Cory Sandhagen & Mario Bautista on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.