Other bouts 13
- 1welterweight MainConor McGregorvsMax Holloway
- 2lightweightBenoit Saint DenisvsPaddy Pimblett
- 4flyweightBrandon RoyvalvsLone'er Kavanagh
- 5lightweightKing GreenvsTerrance McKinney
- 6light heavyweightNikita KrylovvsRobert Whittaker
- 7Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsElisha Ellison
- 8bantamweightCody GarbrandtvsAdrian Yanez
- 9featherweightLuke RileyvsKai Kamaka III
- 10women's flyweightTracy CortezvsWang Cong
- 11middleweightDamian PinasvsCesar Almeida
- 12Not linkedbantamweightFarid BasharatvsJohn Garza
- 13middleweightRyan GandravsZach Reese
- 14flyweightAlessandro CostavsCody Durden
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Cory Sandhagen 53.2% · Mario Bautista 46.8%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Cory Sandhagen 54.3% · Mario Bautista 45.7%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Tale of the tape
| 11-6-0 | UFC record | 12-3-0 |
| KO 6 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 4 |
| -2 | Streak | +2 |
| 34 | Age | 33 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 70" 178 cm | Reach | 69" 175 cm |
| Switch | Stance | Switch |
| 1656 | Global Elo | 1661 |
| 1604 | Elo rating | 1631 |
Cory Sandhagen — Notable ▼
- 64% of wins by KO or submission
- UFC veteran since 2018
Mario Bautista — Notable ▼
Cory Sandhagen — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1233 landed total · career
- Head 66%
- Body 15%
- Leg 19%
- Distance 83%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 13%
Mario Bautista — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 864 landed total · career
- Head 61%
- Body 26%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Sean O'Malley5.97
- 3Adrian Yanez5.92
- 4Payton Talbott5.87
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.1.34
- 2Montel Jackson1.37
- 3Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 4Jafel Filho1.52
- 5Rinya Nakamura1.52
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Felipe Lima65%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.6.76
- 2Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Dan Argueta4.36
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Rinya Nakamura88%
- 2Elijah Smith75%
- 3Santiago Luna71%
- 4Montel Jackson61%
- 5Benardo Sopaj60%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.8.53
- 2Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 3Rinya Nakamura7.81
- 4Rafael Estevam7.79
- 5Dan Argueta6.10
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Cory Sandhagen has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1666 vs 1627, 8 quality wins to 4.
Common opponents
1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jul 11, 2026
- Oct 4, 2025
- May 3, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024
- Aug 5, 2023
- Jul 11, 2026
- Feb 7, 2026
- Oct 25, 2025
- Jun 7, 2025
- Oct 5, 2024