lightweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
- 1welterweight MainConor McGregorvsMax Holloway
- 3bantamweightCory SandhagenvsMario Bautista
- 4Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsElisha Ellison
- 5light heavyweightRobert WhittakervsNikita Krylov
- 6bantamweightCody GarbrandtvsAdrian Yanez
- 7flyweightBrandon RoyvalvsLone'er Kavanagh
- 8women's flyweightTracy CortezvsWang Cong
- 9middleweightDamian PinasvsCesar Almeida
- 10featherweightLuke RileyvsKai Kamaka III
- 11middleweightRyan GandravsZach Reese
- 12flyweightOde OsbournevsCody Durden
- 13lightweightKing GreenvsTerrance McKinney
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
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Other fights on this card · 11
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway Main event · welterweight Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista bantamweight Robert Whittaker vs Nikita Krylov light heavyweight Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez bantamweight Brandon Royval vs Lone'er Kavanagh flyweight Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong women's flyweight Damian Pinas vs Cesar Almeida middleweight Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese middleweight Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden flyweight King Green vs Terrance McKinney lightweight
Tale of the tape
| 9-3-0 | UFC record | 7-1-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 4 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 3 |
| +4 | Streak | -1 |
| 30 | Age | 31 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 5'10" 178 cm |
| 73" 185 cm | Reach | 73" 185 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1661 | Global Elo | 1655 |
| 1622 | Elo rating | 1623 |
Benoit Saint Denis — Notable ▼
At a glance
- 4-fight UFC win streak
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
- 4 finishes in a row
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
Paddy Pimblett — Notable ▼
At a glance
- Has never been finished — durability signal
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 71% of wins by KO or submission
- 43% of wins finished in round 1
Benoit Saint Denis — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 483 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
- Head 63%
- Body 27%
- Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
51% Distance
- Distance 51%
- Clinch 18%
- Ground 31%
Paddy Pimblett — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 480 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
- Head 62%
- Body 18%
- Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 17%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
5.62
Top 5 · lightweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Terrance McKinney7.77
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.24
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Max Holloway6.91
- 5Manuel Torres6.69
div avg 4.65
59%
Top 5 · lightweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Quillan Salkilld60%
- 2Manuel Torres60%
- 3Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 4Benoit Saint Denis59%
- 5Marquel Mederos58%
div avg 51%
4.09
Top 5 · lightweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Kaue Fernandes1.42
- 2Fares Ziam1.58
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.73
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
div avg 3.84
42%
Top 5 · lightweight
Striking Defense
- 1Fares Ziam64%
- 2Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 3Kaue Fernandes63%
- 4King Green62%
- 5Ilia Topuria62%
div avg 54%
4.19
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Quillan Salkilld6.16
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.22
- 3Loik Radzhabov4.65
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.19
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
div avg 1.84
36%
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Manuel Torres67%
- 3Rafael Fiziev67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
div avg 38%
72%
Top 5 · lightweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Nikolas Motta100%
- 2Trey Ogden100%
- 3Ottman Azaitar100%
- 4Anshul Jubli100%
- 5Ilia Topuria95%
div avg 72%
1.75
Top 5 · lightweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Terrance McKinney2.55
- 2Charles Oliveira2.50
- 3Chase Hooper1.96
- 4Jim Miller1.78
- 5Benoit Saint Denis1.75
div avg 0.62
7
Top 5 · lightweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev7.60
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.14
- 4Terrance McKinney6.80
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
div avg 4
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Benoit Saint Denis
100% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 4
can finish?
Paddy Pimblett
finished 0%
never finished
Paddy Pimblett
71% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 3
can finish?
Benoit Saint Denis
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1596 (Benoit Saint Denis) vs 1592 (Paddy Pimblett).
Benoit Saint Denis red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1596
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Beneil Dariush
Elo 1687 at fight time
Expected wins
6.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 12 fights
1611 1617
Notable wins
Paddy Pimblett blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1592
UFC level Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tony Ferguson
Elo 1614 at fight time
Expected wins
4.4
+2.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career
· 8 fights
1481 1662
Notable wins
Corner A recent form
Benoit Saint Denis
- Jan 31, 2026
- Nov 15, 2025
- Sep 6, 2025
- May 10, 2025
- Sep 28, 2024
Corner B recent form
Paddy Pimblett
- Jan 24, 2026
- Apr 12, 2025
- Jul 27, 2024
- Dec 16, 2023
- Dec 10, 2022
Source
Per-fighter stats and bout records from
Benoit Saint Denis & Paddy Pimblett on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice.
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