HonestElo
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Ismael Bonfim

Active #88 lightweight
Elo rating
1488 ±43
LCB 1432
Rank
#88
top 87% of division
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Terrance McKinney Δ+39Jul 1, 2023 — L vs Benoit Saint Denis Δ-33May 4, 2024 — W vs Vinc Pichel Δ+36Feb 15, 2025 — L vs Nazim Sadykhov Δ-28Nov 8, 2025 — L vs Chris Padilla Δ-27 14481481151515491582 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":92.5,"elo":1539,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Terrance McKinney","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":1,"x":158.2,"y":144.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Benoit Saint Denis","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":415,"y":87,"elo":1542,"date":"2024-05-04","opp":"Vinc Pichel","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":654.2,"y":130.8,"elo":1515,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Nazim Sadykhov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":173,"elo":1488,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Chris Padilla","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Chris Padilla L -27
Feb 15, 2025 Nazim Sadykhov L -28
May 4, 2024 Vinc Pichel W +36
Jul 1, 2023 Benoit Saint Denis L -33
Jan 21, 2023 Terrance McKinney W +39

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.04 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
55% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.67 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1567
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.2
actual 0 vs expected