HonestElo
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Mike Breeden

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1478 ±38
LCB 1428
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Oct 21, 2023
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Oct 2, 2021 — L vs Alexander Hernandez Δ-28Apr 30, 2022 — L vs Natan Levy Δ-29Aug 12, 2023 — L vs Terrance McKinney Δ-27Oct 21, 2023 — W vs Anshul Jubli Δ+45 13751409144414781512 20222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":86,"elo":1472,"date":"2021-10-02","opp":"Alexander Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":262.9,"y":131.5,"elo":1443,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Natan Levy","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":796.4,"y":174,"elo":1415,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Terrance McKinney","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":104.6,"elo":1460,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Anshul Jubli","result":"W","delta":45}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 21, 2023 Anshul Jubli W +45
Aug 12, 2023 Terrance McKinney L -27
Apr 30, 2022 Natan Levy L -29
Oct 2, 2021 Alexander Hernandez L -28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.08 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
6.13 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.13 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (100%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1516
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.7
actual -1 vs expected