Other bouts 11
- 1welterweight Main TitleIslam MakhachevvsIan Machado Garry
- 2women's strawweight TitleMackenzie DernvsGillian Robertson
- 3Not linkedcatch weightCharles JohnsonvsEduardo Chapolin
- 4middleweightMansur Abdul-MalikvsDustin Stoltzfus
- 6welterweightChidi NjokuanivsJoel Alvarez
- 7lightweightJalin TurnervsKaue Fernandes
- 8middleweightDonte JohnsonvsEric McConico
- 9middleweightVicente LuquevsTresean Gore
- 10Not linkedlight heavyweightRafael TobiasvsLucas Fernando
- 11welterweightNeil MagnyvsRamiz Brahimaj
- 12welterweightJeremiah WellsvsMyktybek Orolbai
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Edson Barboza 12.1% · Esteban Ribovics 87.9%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Edson Barboza 54.2% · Esteban Ribovics 45.8%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
13 career post-fight bonuses — a perennial bonus magnet.
Reach advantage of ~6".
Tale of the tape
| 18-15-0 | UFC record | 5-3-0 |
| KO 9 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| -4 | Streak | +1 |
| 40 | Age | 30 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 5'10" 178 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 69" 175 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1553 | Global Elo | 1563 |
| 1507 | Elo rating | 1514 |
Edson Barboza — Notable ▼
- 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Esteban Ribovics — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · lightweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- Top 5 · lightweightTakedown Accuracy
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
Edson Barboza — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1616 landed total · career
- Head 44%
- Body 32%
- Leg 25%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 4%
Esteban Ribovics — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 678 landed total · career
- Head 74%
- Body 16%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 92%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1596 (Edson Barboza) vs 1578 (Esteban Ribovics).
- Aug 15, 2026
- Dec 6, 2025
- Aug 16, 2025
- May 18, 2024
- Oct 14, 2023
- Aug 15, 2026
- Apr 11, 2026
- Aug 2, 2025
- Mar 1, 2025
- Sep 14, 2024