HonestElo
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Lerone Murphy

Active #3 featherweight · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1676 ±23
LCB 1647
Rank
#3
top 2% of division
UFC record
9-1-1
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Sep 7, 2019 — D vs Zubaira Tukhugov Δ+4Jul 15, 2020 — W vs Ricardo Ramos Δ+41Jan 20, 2021 — W vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ+28Oct 30, 2021 — W vs Makwan Amirkhani Δ+32Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Gabriel Santos Δ+20Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Josh Culibao Δ+13May 18, 2024 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+15Oct 26, 2024 — W vs Dan Ige Δ+13Apr 5, 2025 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+15Aug 16, 2025 — W vs Aaron Pico Δ+10Mar 21, 2026 — L vs Movsar Evloev Δ-15 14641531159816651732 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204.3,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Zubaira Tukhugov","result":"D","delta":4},{"i":1,"x":135.4,"y":171.6,"elo":1545,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Ricardo Ramos","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":2,"x":202.8,"y":149.4,"elo":1573,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":303.8,"y":124.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Makwan Amirkhani","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":483.7,"y":108.2,"elo":1625,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Gabriel Santos","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":528.7,"y":97.7,"elo":1639,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Josh Culibao","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":636.1,"y":85.6,"elo":1654,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":693.6,"y":75,"elo":1667,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":751.1,"y":63.3,"elo":1682,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":798.5,"y":55.7,"elo":1692,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Aaron Pico","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":67.9,"elo":1676,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Movsar Evloev","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Movsar Evloev L -15
Aug 16, 2025 Aaron Pico W +10
Apr 5, 2025 Josh Emmett W +15
Oct 26, 2024 Dan Ige W +13
May 18, 2024 Edson Barboza W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.16 avg 3.74
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.54 avg 2.99
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.15 avg 1.40
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
54% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.44 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
3 / 9
Finish rate
KO
3
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
67% of wins
KO: 3 (33%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (67%) 6
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1613
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.9
actual +3 vs expected