HonestElo
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Khabib Nurmagomedov

Inactive Retired · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
Elo rating
1713 ±20
LCB 1687
Rank
UFC record
13-0-0
KO 2 · Sub 5 · Dec 6
Streak
+13
Δ90d -57 · Δ1y -57
Last fight
Oct 24, 2020
W by Submission

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Jan 20, 2012 — W vs Kamal Shalorus Δ+31Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+34Jan 19, 2013 — W vs Thiago Tavares Δ+32May 25, 2013 — W vs Abel Trujillo Δ+24Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Pat Healy Δ+17Apr 19, 2014 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+15Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Darrell Horcher Δ+11Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Michael Johnson Δ+15Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+15Apr 7, 2018 — W vs Al Iaquinta Δ+15Oct 6, 2018 — W vs Conor McGregor Δ+24Sep 7, 2019 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+22Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Justin Gaethje Δ+16 14911571165117301810 2014201620182020 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":209.4,"elo":1531,"date":"2012-01-20","opp":"Kamal Shalorus","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":69,"y":186.6,"elo":1566,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":121.2,"y":165.3,"elo":1598,"date":"2013-01-19","opp":"Thiago Tavares","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":154.7,"y":149.8,"elo":1621,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Abel Trujillo","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":4,"x":186.4,"y":138.6,"elo":1638,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Pat Healy","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":5,"x":242.3,"y":128.5,"elo":1653,"date":"2014-04-19","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":436.2,"y":121.3,"elo":1664,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Darrell Horcher","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":7,"x":492.1,"y":111.7,"elo":1678,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Michael Johnson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":602,"y":101.7,"elo":1693,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":628.1,"y":91.6,"elo":1708,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":676.6,"y":75.7,"elo":1732,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":11,"x":766,"y":61.1,"elo":1754,"date":"2019-09-07","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":50.6,"elo":1770,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 24, 2020 Justin Gaethje W +16
Sep 7, 2019 Dustin Poirier W +22
Oct 6, 2018 Conor McGregor W +24
Apr 7, 2018 Al Iaquinta W +15
Dec 30, 2017 Edson Barboza W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.71 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.58 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.82 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
85% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.71 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
54%
7 / 13
Finish rate
KO
2
15% of wins
SUB
5
38% of wins
DEC
6
46% of wins
KO: 2 (15%) 2 Sub: 5 (38%) 5 Dec: 6 (46%) 6
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
1 14%
R2
2 29%
R3
3 43%
R4
1 14%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1669
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.4
actual +6 vs expected