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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

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By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 3

Tale of the tape

2-0-0 UFC record 2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+2 Streak +1
27 Age 36
5'8" 173 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
1550 Global Elo 1505
1524 Elo rating 1449
Donte Johnson — Notable
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by submission
Eric Mcconico — Notable
At a glance

Donte Johnson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 55 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 7%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 20%

Eric Mcconico — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 138 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.57
2.92
div avg 4.47
44%
47%
div avg 51%
1.68
3.05
div avg 3.48
64%
46%
div avg 54%
2.10
0.64
div avg 1.73
100%
100%
div avg 44%
75%
69%
div avg 69%
0.70
0.00
div avg 0.52
5
2
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Donte Johnson
50% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Eric Mcconico
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Eric Mcconico
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Donte Johnson
finished
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Eric Mcconico has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1525 vs 1472, 0 quality wins to 0.

Donte Johnson red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1472
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Sedriques Dumas
Elo 1493 at fight time
Expected wins
1.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1493
1452
Eric Mcconico blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rodolfo Vieira
Elo 1542 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+0.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1542
1542

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    W
    Decision - Split
    Decision - Split
    Mar 7, 2026
    Aug 9, 2025
Corner A recent form
Donte Johnson
Corner B recent form
Eric Mcconico
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Donte Johnson & Eric Mcconico on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.