Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1welterweight Main TitleIslam MakhachevvsIan Machado Garry
- 2women's strawweight TitleMackenzie DernvsGillian Robertson
- 3Not linkedcatch weightCharles JohnsonvsEduardo Chapolin
- 5lightweightEdson BarbozavsEsteban Ribovics
- 6welterweightChidi NjokuanivsJoel Alvarez
- 7lightweightJalin TurnervsKaue Fernandes
- 8middleweightDonte JohnsonvsEric McConico
- 9middleweightVicente LuquevsTresean Gore
- 10Not linkedlight heavyweightRafael TobiasvsLucas Fernando
- 11welterweightNeil MagnyvsRamiz Brahimaj
- 12welterweightJeremiah WellsvsMyktybek Orolbai
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Mansur Abdul-Malik 73.3% · Dustin Stoltzfus 26.7%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Mansur Abdul-Malik 65.0% · Dustin Stoltzfus 35.0%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 3-2-0 | UFC record | 4-7-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 2 |
| -2 | Streak | +1 |
| 29 | Age | 34 |
| 6'2" 188 cm | Height | 6'0" 183 cm |
| 80" 203 cm | Reach | 75" 191 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1502 | Global Elo | 1461 |
| 1451 | Elo rating | 1414 |
Mansur Abdul-Malik — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO or submission
- 67% of wins finished in round 1
Dustin Stoltzfus — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 75% of wins by KO or submission
Mansur Abdul-Malik — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 135 landed total · career
- Head 76%
- Body 13%
- Leg 10%
- Distance 49%
- Clinch 19%
- Ground 33%
Dustin Stoltzfus — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 383 landed total · career
- Head 52%
- Body 25%
- Leg 22%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 11%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Ryan Gandra10.00
- 2Yousri Belgaroui8.35
- 3Jackson Mcvey7.14
- 4Marco Tulio7.07
- 5Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 1Damian Pinas71%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Yousri Belgaroui65%
- 4Shara Magomedov63%
- 5Bo Nickal62%
- 1Michael Page1.40
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Yousri Belgaroui1.93
- 4Cam Rowston1.98
- 5Bo Nickal2.00
- 1Yousri Belgaroui70%
- 2Ismail Naurdiev64%
- 3Donte Johnson63%
- 4Michael Page63%
- 5Ozzy Diaz62%
- 1Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 2Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 3Anthony Hernandez5.09
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Yousri Belgaroui100%
- 2Ateba Gautier100%
- 3Donte Johnson100%
- 4Robert Bryczek100%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 2Bo Nickal100%
- 3Ateba Gautier100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Wes Schultz4.85
- 2Julian Marquez2.67
- 3Robert Valentin2.54
- 4Bo Nickal1.47
- 5Kyle Daukaus1.43
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Cam Rowston7.18
- 3Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 4Anthony Hernandez6.99
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Dustin Stoltzfus has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1551 vs 1483, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Aug 15, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jun 14, 2025
- Feb 22, 2025
- Aug 15, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- May 17, 2025
- Nov 2, 2024
- Jun 8, 2024