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Other bouts 4
Fight Card
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Aug 15, 2026 · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Corner A
Islam Makhachev C
#1 17-1-0
Elo 1802
VS
Corner B
Ian Machado Garry
#5 10-1-0
Elo 1669

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Islam Makhachev 50.0%
Corner B Ian Machado Garry 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 4
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Tale of the tape

17-1-0 UFC record 10-1-0
KO 3 · Sub 8 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 0
+16 Streak +2
34 Age 28
5'10" 178 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
70" 178 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1828 Global Elo 1703
1802 Elo rating 1669
Islam Makhachev — Notable ▼
At a glance
Ian Machado Garry — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 88% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Islam Makhachev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 485 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
57% Distance
  • Distance 57%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 24%

Ian Machado Garry — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 775 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
91% Distance
  • Distance 91%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.45
4.78
div avg 4.04
58%
54%
div avg 50%
1.45
2.86
div avg 3.06
62%
53%
div avg 56%
3.10
0.92
div avg 2.25
56%
31%
div avg 42%
91%
80%
div avg 72%
0.98
0.37
div avg 0.54
8
2
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Islam Makhachev
65% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 8
can finish?
Ian Machado Garry
finished 0%
never finished
Ian Machado Garry
30% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Islam Makhachev
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Islam Makhachev has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1727 vs 1645, 10 quality wins to 5.

Islam Makhachev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1727
Elite slate
Quality wins (1600+)
10
of 17 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alexander Volkanovski
Elo 1778 at fight time
Expected wins
9.7
+7.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1500
1709
Notable wins
Alexander Volkanovski ×2 1778 Charles Oliveira 1750 Dustin Poirier 1719 Jack Della Maddalena 1709 Renato Moicano 1652
Ian Machado Garry blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1645
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
5
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Belal Muhammad
Elo 1705 at fight time
Expected wins
5.9
+4.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1447
1705
Notable wins
Belal Muhammad 1705 Neil Magny 1666 Carlos Prates 1643 Geoff Neal 1637 Daniel Rodriguez 1617
Corner A recent form
Islam Makhachev
Corner B recent form
Ian Machado Garry
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Islam Makhachev & Ian Machado Garry on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.