HonestElo
← featherweight

Makwan Amirkhani

Inactive · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1527 ±30
LCB 1489
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 4 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Mar 18, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jan 24, 2015 — W vs Andy Ogle Δ+25Jun 20, 2015 — W vs Masio Fullen Δ+33Feb 27, 2016 — W vs Mike Wilkinson Δ+27Mar 18, 2017 — L vs Arnold Allen Δ-31May 27, 2018 — W vs Jason Knight Δ+30Jun 1, 2019 — W vs Chris Fishgold Δ+14Nov 2, 2019 — L vs Shane Burgos Δ-19Jul 11, 2020 — W vs Danny Henry Δ+16Oct 10, 2020 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Jun 5, 2021 — L vs Kamuela Kirk Δ-20Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Lerone Murphy Δ-18Mar 19, 2022 — W vs Mike Grundy Δ+15Jul 23, 2022 — L vs Jonathan Pearce Δ-18Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Jack Shore Δ-15 14841523156116001638 2017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":179.5,"elo":1525,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Andy Ogle","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":66.1,"y":133.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2015-06-20","opp":"Masio Fullen","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":138.3,"y":96.4,"elo":1586,"date":"2016-02-27","opp":"Mike Wilkinson","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":248.5,"y":139.6,"elo":1554,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":373.1,"y":98.4,"elo":1584,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Jason Knight","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":479.1,"y":79,"elo":1598,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Chris Fishgold","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":523.2,"y":105,"elo":1579,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Shane Burgos","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":595.3,"y":83.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2020-07-11","opp":"Danny Henry","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":621.4,"y":106.3,"elo":1579,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":689.6,"y":133.2,"elo":1559,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Kamuela Kirk","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":10,"x":731.7,"y":157.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Lerone Murphy","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":11,"x":771.8,"y":136.5,"elo":1557,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Mike Grundy","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":807.8,"y":160.7,"elo":1539,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Jonathan Pearce","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":181,"elo":1524,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Jack Shore","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 18, 2023 Jack Shore L -15
Jul 23, 2022 Jonathan Pearce L -18
Mar 19, 2022 Mike Grundy W +15
Oct 30, 2021 Lerone Murphy L -18
Jun 5, 2021 Kamuela Kirk L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.14 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.56 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.40 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
36% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.90 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
4
57% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 4 (57%) 4 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
4 80%
R2
1 20%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual 0 vs expected