HonestElo
← welterweight

Kevin Lee

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1577 ±36
LCB 1530
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-8-0
KO 2 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d -5 · Δ1y -5
Last fight
Jul 1, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Feb 1, 2014 — L vs Al Iaquinta Δ-27Jul 6, 2014 — W vs Jesse Ronson Δ+27Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Jon Tuck Δ+32Feb 14, 2015 — W vs Michel Prazeres Δ+29Jul 15, 2015 — W vs James Moontasri Δ+28Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Leonardo Santos Δ-18Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+13Jul 8, 2016 — W vs Jake Matthews Δ+19Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Magomed Mustafaev Δ+16Mar 11, 2017 — W vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ+19Jun 25, 2017 — W vs Michael Chiesa Δ+18Oct 7, 2017 — L vs Tony Ferguson Δ-20Apr 21, 2018 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+16Dec 15, 2018 — L vs Al Iaquinta Δ-19May 18, 2019 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Gregor Gillespie Δ+21Mar 14, 2020 — L vs Charles Oliveira Δ-17Aug 28, 2021 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-17Jul 1, 2023 — L vs Rinat Fakhretdinov Δ-21 14331499156416301696 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":203.7,"elo":1473,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":1,"x":62.4,"y":182.3,"elo":1500,"date":"2014-07-06","opp":"Jesse Ronson","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":83,"y":156.8,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Jon Tuck","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":117.7,"y":133.2,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":155.1,"y":110.5,"elo":1588,"date":"2015-07-15","opp":"James Moontasri","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":192.3,"y":125.1,"elo":1570,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Leonardo Santos","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":225.3,"y":114.9,"elo":1583,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":244.1,"y":99.6,"elo":1602,"date":"2016-07-08","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":277.3,"y":86.3,"elo":1618,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Magomed Mustafaev","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":305.1,"y":70.8,"elo":1638,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":331.4,"y":56.3,"elo":1656,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":357.2,"y":72.3,"elo":1636,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":405.8,"y":59.2,"elo":1652,"date":"2018-04-21","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":464.7,"y":74.3,"elo":1633,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Al Iaquinta","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":14,"x":502.9,"y":88,"elo":1616,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":544.6,"y":71.3,"elo":1637,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Gregor Gillespie","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":16,"x":577.5,"y":85,"elo":1620,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Charles Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":709.4,"y":98.6,"elo":1603,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":115.3,"elo":1582,"date":"2023-07-01","opp":"Rinat Fakhretdinov","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 1, 2023 Rinat Fakhretdinov L -21
Aug 28, 2021 Daniel Rodriguez L -17
Mar 14, 2020 Charles Oliveira L -17
Nov 2, 2019 Gregor Gillespie W +21
May 18, 2019 Rafael Dos Anjos L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.51 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
42% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.25 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.88 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.69 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
55%
6 / 11
Finish rate
KO
2
18% of wins
SUB
4
36% of wins
DEC
4
36% of wins
KO: 2 (20%) 2 Sub: 4 (40%) 4 Dec: 4 (40%) 4
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
2 29%
R3
R4
R5
1 14%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1629
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.6
actual +1 vs expected