Other bouts 4
- 1welterweight MainIslam MakhachevvsIan Machado Garry
- 3women's flyweightErin BlanchfieldvsJasmine Jasudavicius
- 4lightweightEdson BarbozavsEsteban Ribovics
- 5middleweightVicente LuquevsTresean Gore
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
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Tale of the tape
| 11-5-0 | UFC record | 14-6-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 5 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 7 |
| +3 | Streak | +5 |
| 33 | Age | 31 |
| 5'4" 163 cm | Height | 5'5" 165 cm |
| 63" 160 cm | Reach | 63" 160 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1623 | Global Elo | 1633 |
| 1574 | Elo rating | 1601 |
Mackenzie Dern — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak
- Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
- 36% of wins finished in round 1
- UFC veteran since 2018
Gillian Robertson — Notable ▼
- 5-fight UFC win streak
- 71% of wins by KO or submission
- Top 5 · women's strawweightControl Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Alexia Thainara9.99
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.45
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
- UFC veteran since 2017
Mackenzie Dern — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 786 landed total · career
- Head 75%
- Body 14%
- Leg 11%
- Distance 73%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 17%
Gillian Robertson — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 560 landed total · career
- Head 67%
- Body 16%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 50%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 46%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Alice Ardelean7.00
- 2Yazmin Jauregui6.64
- 3Jessica Andrade6.37
- 4Julia Polastri6.22
- 5Karolina Kowalkiewicz5.54
- 1Tatiana Suarez60%
- 2Julia Polastri58%
- 3Ketlen Souza57%
- 4Loma Lookboonmee56%
- 5Amanda Lemos55%
- 1Tatiana Suarez1.63
- 2Jaqueline Amorim2.06
- 3Alexia Thainara2.20
- 4Josefine Knutsson2.40
- 5Loma Lookboonmee2.45
- 1Stephanie Luciano65%
- 2Molly McCann63%
- 3Loopy Godinez62%
- 4Iasmin Lucindo62%
- 5Tecia Pennington62%
- 1Alexia Thainara5.21
- 2Tatiana Suarez4.52
- 3Piera Rodriguez4.45
- 4Carla Esparza3.28
- 5Virna Jandiroba3.13
- 1Josefine Knutsson75%
- 2Julia Polastri75%
- 3Yan Xiaonan73%
- 4Stephanie Luciano67%
- 5Amanda Lemos65%
- 1Alexia Thainara100%
- 2Talita Alencar100%
- 3Yazmin Jauregui100%
- 4Nicolle Caliari100%
- 5Alice Ardelean86%
- 1Jaqueline Amorim4.27
- 2Alexia Thainara2.17
- 3Polyana Viana1.51
- 4Virna Jandiroba1.39
- 5Mackenzie Dern1.06
- 1Alexia Thainara9.99
- 2Tatiana Suarez8.94
- 3Gillian Robertson7.45
- 4Jaqueline Amorim6.57
- 5Virna Jandiroba6.50
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Mackenzie Dern has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1590 vs 1522, 1 quality wins to 1.
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Oct 25, 2025
- Jan 11, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024
- Feb 17, 2024
- Nov 11, 2023
- Mar 14, 2026
- May 3, 2025
- Nov 9, 2024
- Jun 29, 2024
- Jan 20, 2024