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Mackenzie Dern won · by Decision · R5
Final result · recorded Aug 16, 2026
Mackenzie Dern
defeated Gillian Robertson by Decision in round 5

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Mackenzie Dern 58.9% · Gillian Robertson 41.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Mackenzie Dern 48.5% · Gillian Robertson 51.5%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Robertson

Finishes 71% of wins (3 KO · 7 SUB).

Dern

7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

12-5-0 UFC record 14-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 5 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 7
+4 Streak -1
33 Age 31
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
63" 160 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1643 Global Elo 1613
1592 Elo rating 1570
Mackenzie Dern — Notable
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
Gillian Robertson — Notable
At a glance

Mackenzie Dern — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 851 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
74% Distance
  • Distance 74%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 17%

Gillian Robertson — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 609 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Distance
  • Distance 50%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 45%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.38
2.63
div avg 4.34
41%
47%
div avg 48%
3.74
2.83
div avg 3.78
53%
57%
div avg 54%
1.07
2.53
div avg 1.99
22%
41%
div avg 47%
41%
38%
div avg 66%
1.01
0.78
div avg 0.56
4
7
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Mackenzie Dern
42% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 5
can finish?
Gillian Robertson
finished 29%
2 of 7 losses
Gillian Robertson
71% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 7
can finish?
Mackenzie Dern
finished 20%
1 of 5 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Mackenzie Dern has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1601 vs 1555, 2 quality wins to 1.

Mackenzie Dern red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1601
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Gillian Robertson
Elo 1633 at fight time
Expected wins
9.1
+2.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1442
1633
Gillian Robertson blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1555
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Amanda Lemos
Elo 1603 at fight time
Expected wins
11.9
+2.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights
1500
1623
Notable wins

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 17, 2024
    Mar 14, 2026
  • L
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R2
    Oct 9, 2021
    May 3, 2025
Corner A recent form
Mackenzie Dern
Corner B recent form
Gillian Robertson
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Mackenzie Dern & Gillian Robertson on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.