HonestElo
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Shane Burgos

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1587 ±39
LCB 1537
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Jul 16, 2022
W by Decision

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Dec 9, 2016 — W vs Tiago dos Santos e Silva Δ+30Apr 8, 2017 — W vs Charles Rosa Δ+31Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Godofredo Pepey Δ+25Jan 20, 2018 — L vs Calvin Kattar Δ-38Nov 3, 2018 — W vs Kurt Holobaugh Δ+24May 4, 2019 — W vs Cub Swanson Δ+17Nov 2, 2019 — W vs Makwan Amirkhani Δ+19Jun 20, 2020 — L vs Josh Emmett Δ-16May 15, 2021 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-18Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Billy Quarantillo Δ+17Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Charles Jourdain Δ+13 14901530156916091648 201720182019202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-12-09","opp":"Tiago dos Santos e Silva","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":74,"y":140.1,"elo":1562,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":117.7,"y":106.4,"elo":1587,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Godofredo Pepey","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":193.6,"y":158,"elo":1548,"date":"2018-01-20","opp":"Calvin Kattar","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":4,"x":313.1,"y":126.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Kurt Holobaugh","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":5,"x":389,"y":103,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":464.8,"y":77.8,"elo":1608,"date":"2019-11-02","opp":"Makwan Amirkhani","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":561,"y":98.9,"elo":1592,"date":"2020-06-20","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":8,"x":698.1,"y":122.9,"elo":1574,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":771,"y":100.6,"elo":1591,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Billy Quarantillo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":82.7,"elo":1604,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Charles Jourdain","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 16, 2022 Charles Jourdain W +13
Nov 6, 2021 Billy Quarantillo W +17
May 15, 2021 Edson Barboza L -18
Jun 20, 2020 Josh Emmett L -16
Nov 2, 2019 Makwan Amirkhani W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
6.71 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
6.14 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.39 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
92% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.39 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
2
25% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 2 (25%) 2 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1587
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.8
actual +2 vs expected