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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

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By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 4

Tale of the tape

17-8-0 UFC record 3-4-0
KO 7 · Sub 7 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 3
+1 Streak +1
34 Age 32
5'11" 180 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1652 Global Elo 1489
1605 Elo rating 1439
Vicente Luque — Notable
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 88% of wins by KO or submission
  • 59% of wins finished in round 1
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
Tresean Gore — Notable
At a glance

Vicente Luque — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1135 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 26%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 6%

Tresean Gore — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 214 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 27%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.80
3.41
div avg 4.47
51%
50%
div avg 51%
5.24
7.00
div avg 3.48
52%
41%
div avg 54%
0.89
1.91
div avg 1.73
48%
73%
div avg 44%
60%
84%
div avg 69%
0.70
0.96
div avg 0.52
2
2
div avg 3

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Vicente Luque
82% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 7
can finish?
Tresean Gore
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses
Tresean Gore
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Vicente Luque
finished 38%
3 of 8 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Vicente Luque has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1597 vs 1510, 4 quality wins to 0.

Vicente Luque red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1597
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 17 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rafael Dos Anjos
Elo 1663 at fight time
Expected wins
14.2
+2.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 25 fights
1500
1612
Tresean Gore blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1510
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Azamat Bekoev
Elo 1530 at fight time
Expected wins
3.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1533
1530
Corner A recent form
Vicente Luque
Corner B recent form
Tresean Gore
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Vicente Luque & Tresean Gore on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.