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✓ Jeremiah Wells won · by Submission · R3
welterweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Aug 15, 2026 · Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
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Corner A
Jeremiah Wells
#26 6-2-0
Elo 1560
VS
Corner B
Myktybek Orolbai
#30 5-2-0
Elo 1558
Final result · recorded Aug 15, 2026
Jeremiah Wells
defeated Myktybek Orolbai by Submission in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Jeremiah Wells 22.1% · Myktybek Orolbai 77.9%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Jeremiah Wells 44.7% · Myktybek Orolbai 55.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry Main event · welterweight TITLE Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson women's strawweight TITLE Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dustin Stoltzfus middleweight Edson Barboza vs Esteban Ribovics lightweight Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez welterweight Jalin Turner vs Kaue Fernandes lightweight Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico middleweight Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore middleweight Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj welterweight

Tale of the tape

6-2-0 UFC record 5-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
+2 Streak -1
39 Age 28
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'10" 178 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Switch Stance Orthodox
1605 Global Elo 1602
1560 Elo rating 1558
Jeremiah Wells — Notable ▼
At a glance
Myktybek Orolbai — Notable ▼
At a glance

Jeremiah Wells — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 177 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
83% Head
  • Head 83%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
57% Distance
  • Distance 57%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 40%

Myktybek Orolbai — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 197 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
76% Head
  • Head 76%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 36%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.21
2.70
div avg 4.23
45%
52%
div avg 50%
1.43
2.49
div avg 3.15
44%
53%
div avg 56%
2.81
8.22
div avg 1.89
48%
60%
div avg 43%
45%
36%
div avg 71%
1.31
0.41
div avg 0.43
7
8
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Jeremiah Wells
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 2
can finish?
Myktybek Orolbai
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Myktybek Orolbai
60% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Jeremiah Wells
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1572 (Jeremiah Wells) vs 1564 (Myktybek Orolbai).

Jeremiah Wells red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1572
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Myktybek Orolbai
Elo 1622 at fight time
Expected wins
4.2
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1601
1622
Notable wins
Myktybek Orolbai 1622 Warlley Alves 1601
Myktybek Orolbai blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1564
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Elves Brener
Elo 1592 at fight time
Expected wins
3.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1570
1585
Corner A recent form
Jeremiah Wells
Corner B recent form
Myktybek Orolbai
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Jeremiah Wells & Myktybek Orolbai on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.