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Michael Johnson "The Menace"

Active #49 lightweight · age 40 · Southpaw · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2010
Elo rating
1486
Global Elo 1533 ±37
Rank
#49
top 55% of division
UFC record
16-16-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 10
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
6h 7m
Avg fight time
11:28
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
10
Fights per year
2.1
Since last fight
4mo

Honest Elo history

32 fights · tap & drag
Dec 4, 2010 — L vs Jonathan Brookins Δ-36Jun 26, 2011 — W vs Edward Faaloloto Δ+37Oct 1, 2011 — L vs Paul Sass Δ-30Jan 28, 2012 — W vs Shane Roller Δ+29May 5, 2012 — W vs Tony Ferguson Δ+37Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Danny Castillo Δ+21Dec 29, 2012 — L vs Myles Jury Δ-17Apr 6, 2013 — L vs Reza Madadi Δ-21Aug 17, 2013 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+19Dec 28, 2013 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+22Mar 8, 2014 — W vs Melvin Guillard Δ+16Feb 22, 2015 — W vs Edson Barboza Δ+19Aug 8, 2015 — L vs Beneil Dariush Δ-15Dec 19, 2015 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-15Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+23Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Δ-14Jul 7, 2017 — L vs Justin Gaethje Δ-22Jan 14, 2018 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-13Aug 25, 2018 — W vs Andre Fili Δ+16Oct 27, 2018 — W vs Artem Lobov Δ+12Mar 30, 2019 — L vs Josh Emmett Δ-18Oct 26, 2019 — L vs Stevie Ray Δ-16May 13, 2020 — L vs Thiago Moises Δ-21Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Clay Guida Δ-15May 14, 2022 — W vs Alan Patrick Δ+22Jul 9, 2022 — L vs Jamie Mullarkey Δ-17Dec 3, 2022 — W vs Marc Diakiese Δ+17May 20, 2023 — L vs Diego Ferreira Δ-15Feb 10, 2024 — W vs Darrius Flowers Δ+15Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Ottman Azaitar Δ+17Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Daniel Zellhuber Δ+16Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Drew Dober Δ-18 13751425147515251575 20132016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":344.1,"elo":1416,"date":"2010-12-04","opp":"Jonathan Brookins","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":116.4,"y":285.7,"elo":1453,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Edward Faaloloto","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":128.9,"y":334.2,"elo":1422,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Paul Sass","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":144.3,"y":287.3,"elo":1452,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":156.9,"y":228.7,"elo":1488,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Tony Ferguson","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":5,"x":176.7,"y":194.6,"elo":1510,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Danny Castillo","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":187.7,"y":222,"elo":1492,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":200.4,"y":255,"elo":1472,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Reza Madadi","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":8,"x":217.5,"y":224.1,"elo":1491,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":234.7,"y":189.2,"elo":1513,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":10,"x":243.8,"y":163.4,"elo":1529,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":289.1,"y":133.7,"elo":1548,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":310.7,"y":158,"elo":1532,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":327.9,"y":181.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":363.2,"y":144.1,"elo":1541,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":15,"x":370.4,"y":167.3,"elo":1527,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":401,"y":203,"elo":1504,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":17,"x":425.7,"y":224.1,"elo":1491,"date":"2018-01-14","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":18,"x":454.5,"y":198,"elo":1507,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Andre Fili","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":462.7,"y":178.3,"elo":1520,"date":"2018-10-27","opp":"Artem Lobov","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":20,"x":482.6,"y":207.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":21,"x":509.7,"y":232.1,"elo":1486,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Stevie Ray","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":22,"x":535.5,"y":266.2,"elo":1465,"date":"2020-05-13","opp":"Thiago Moises","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":23,"x":570.3,"y":290.3,"elo":1450,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":24,"x":630,"y":255.4,"elo":1472,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Alan Patrick","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":25,"x":637.2,"y":283,"elo":1454,"date":"2022-07-09","opp":"Jamie Mullarkey","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":26,"x":656.2,"y":255.3,"elo":1472,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Marc Diakiese","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":27,"x":677.9,"y":279.9,"elo":1456,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Diego Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":28,"x":712.3,"y":256.4,"elo":1471,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Darrius Flowers","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":29,"x":752.1,"y":229.4,"elo":1488,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Ottman Azaitar","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":30,"x":780.2,"y":204.2,"elo":1504,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Daniel Zellhuber","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":31,"x":810,"y":233,"elo":1486,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Drew Dober","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Drew Dober L -18
Jul 19, 2025 Daniel Zellhuber W +16
Dec 14, 2024 Ottman Azaitar W +17
Feb 10, 2024 Darrius Flowers W +15
May 20, 2023 Diego Ferreira L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
6 / 16
Finish rate
KO
6
38% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
10
63% of wins
KO: 6 (38%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 10 (63%) 10
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
4 67%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1568 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 32%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
90% Distance
  • Distance 90%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
56%
of losses by finish
9 of 16 · usually R2
4 KO/TKO 5 Sub 7 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Dustin Poirier
Elo 1661 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
15.2
+0.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 32 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1559
Notable wins
Dustin Poirier 1661 Edson Barboza 1633 Gleison Tibau 1605

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Michael Johnson on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.