HonestElo
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Evan Dunham

Inactive · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1549 ±34
LCB 1504
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-9-1
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
-3
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Jun 6, 2020
L by Submission

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Feb 21, 2009 — W vs Per Eklund Δ+33Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Marcus Aurelio Δ+25Jan 11, 2010 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+35Jun 12, 2010 — W vs Tyson Griffin Δ+31Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Sean Sherk Δ-33Jan 22, 2011 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-19Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Shamar Bailey Δ+14Jan 28, 2012 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+17Sep 22, 2012 — L vs TJ Grant Δ-18Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+16May 18, 2013 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-17Jul 16, 2014 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Rodrigo Damm Δ+14Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+17Dec 11, 2015 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+17Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Ricky Glenn Δ+12Oct 7, 2017 — D vs Beneil Dariush Δ+1Apr 7, 2018 — L vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier Δ-20Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-17Jun 6, 2020 — L vs Herbert Burns Δ-20 14931536157816211663 20112013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":186.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2009-02-21","opp":"Per Eklund","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":63.1,"y":155.1,"elo":1558,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Marcus Aurelio","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":91,"y":112,"elo":1593,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":122.4,"y":73.9,"elo":1623,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Tyson Griffin","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":144.1,"y":115.8,"elo":1590,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Sean Sherk","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":168.7,"y":140.2,"elo":1570,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":217.8,"y":122.6,"elo":1584,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Shamar Bailey","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":245.3,"y":101.4,"elo":1601,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":294.5,"y":124.2,"elo":1583,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"TJ Grant","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":322,"y":103.7,"elo":1599,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":343.7,"y":124.6,"elo":1583,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":381.3,"y":146.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":431.3,"y":167,"elo":1549,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":466.6,"y":149.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Rodrigo Damm","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":507.1,"y":127.8,"elo":1580,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":537.3,"y":107.1,"elo":1597,"date":"2015-12-11","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":595.4,"y":92.5,"elo":1608,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Ricky Glenn","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":674.9,"y":91.5,"elo":1609,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"D","delta":1},{"i":18,"x":712.5,"y":117,"elo":1589,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Olivier Aubin-Mercier","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":19,"x":747.3,"y":138,"elo":1572,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":163.5,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Herbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 6, 2020 Herbert Burns L -20
Sep 22, 2018 Francisco Trinaldo L -17
Apr 7, 2018 Olivier Aubin-Mercier L -20
Oct 7, 2017 Beneil Dariush D +1
Sep 17, 2016 Ricky Glenn W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.91 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.26 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.68 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
80% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.90 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
18%
2 / 11
Finish rate
KO
1
9% of wins
SUB
1
9% of wins
DEC
8
73% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 1 (10%) 1 Dec: 8 (80%) 8
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1570
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.8
actual 0 vs expected