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Evan Dunham

Inactive · age 44 · Southpaw · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1506
Global Elo 1548 ±33
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-9-1
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 8
Streak
-3
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Jun 6, 2020
Loss by Submission · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 50m
Avg fight time
10:58
Bonuses
8
Fights per year
1.9
Ground control
52m
Since last fight
6y 1mo

Honest Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Feb 21, 2009 — W vs Per Eklund Δ+33Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Marcus Aurelio Δ+25Jan 11, 2010 — W vs Efrain Escudero Δ+35Jun 12, 2010 — W vs Tyson Griffin Δ+31Sep 25, 2010 — L vs Sean Sherk Δ-33Jan 22, 2011 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-19Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Shamar Bailey Δ+14Jan 28, 2012 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+17Sep 22, 2012 — L vs TJ Grant Δ-18Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Gleison Tibau Δ+16May 18, 2013 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-17Jul 16, 2014 — L vs Edson Barboza Δ-16Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Rodrigo Damm Δ+14Jul 18, 2015 — W vs Ross Pearson Δ+17Dec 11, 2015 — W vs Joe Lauzon Δ+17Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Ricky Glenn Δ+12Oct 7, 2017 — D vs Beneil Dariush Δ+1Apr 7, 2018 — L vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier Δ-20Sep 22, 2018 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-17Jun 6, 2020 — L vs Herbert Burns Δ-20 1450147515001525155015751600 20112013201520172019 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":330.2,"elo":1487,"date":"2009-02-21","opp":"Per Eklund","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":123,"y":277.3,"elo":1512,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Marcus Aurelio","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":146.6,"y":203.5,"elo":1547,"date":"2010-01-11","opp":"Efrain Escudero","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":173.1,"y":138.4,"elo":1577,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Tyson Griffin","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":191.5,"y":209.9,"elo":1544,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Sean Sherk","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":212.2,"y":251.5,"elo":1524,"date":"2011-01-22","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":253.8,"y":221.4,"elo":1538,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Shamar Bailey","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":277,"y":185.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":318.6,"y":224.4,"elo":1537,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"TJ Grant","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":341.8,"y":189.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Gleison Tibau","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":360.2,"y":225,"elo":1537,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":391.9,"y":262.4,"elo":1519,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":434.2,"y":297.6,"elo":1503,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Edson Barboza","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":464.1,"y":267.7,"elo":1517,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Rodrigo Damm","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":498.3,"y":230.6,"elo":1534,"date":"2015-07-18","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":523.8,"y":195.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-12-11","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":572.9,"y":170.2,"elo":1562,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Ricky Glenn","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":640.1,"y":168.5,"elo":1563,"date":"2017-10-07","opp":"Beneil Dariush","result":"D","delta":1},{"i":18,"x":671.9,"y":212,"elo":1543,"date":"2018-04-07","opp":"Olivier Aubin-Mercier","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":19,"x":701.2,"y":248.1,"elo":1526,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":810,"y":291.6,"elo":1506,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Herbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 6, 2020 Herbert Burns L -20
Sep 22, 2018 Francisco Trinaldo L -17
Apr 7, 2018 Olivier Aubin-Mercier L -20
Oct 7, 2017 Beneil Dariush D +1
Sep 17, 2016 Ricky Glenn W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
18%
2 / 11
Finish rate
KO
1
9% of wins
SUB
1
9% of wins
DEC
8
73% of wins
KO: 1 (10%) 1 Sub: 1 (10%) 1 Dec: 8 (80%) 8
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1228 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
85% Head
  • Head 85%
  • Body 11%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
6 of 9 · usually R1
4 KO/TKO 2 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1570
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Tyson Griffin
Elo 1613 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.8
+0.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 21 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1502
1533
Notable wins
Tyson Griffin 1613 Nik Lentz 1605

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Evan Dunham on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.