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Themba Gorimbo "Mamba"

Active #48 welterweight · age 35 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1488
Global Elo 1537 ±37
Rank
#48
top 64% of division
UFC record
4-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y -31
Last fight
May 2, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 23m
Avg fight time
10:23
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.5
Ground control
44m
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Feb 18, 2023 — L vs Aj Fletcher Δ-38May 20, 2023 — W vs Takashi Sato Δ+30Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Pete Rodriguez Δ+34May 18, 2024 — W vs Ramiz Brahimaj Δ+27Oct 12, 2024 — W vs Niko Price Δ+30Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-14Nov 1, 2025 — L vs Jeremiah Wells Δ-16May 2, 2026 — L vs Jonathan Micallef Δ-15 13751425147515251575 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":348.6,"elo":1413,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Aj Fletcher","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":1,"x":146,"y":301,"elo":1443,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Takashi Sato","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":305.6,"y":246.8,"elo":1477,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Pete Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":370.2,"y":203.4,"elo":1504,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Ramiz Brahimaj","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":460.8,"y":156.2,"elo":1534,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":495.3,"y":179.1,"elo":1519,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":697.9,"y":204.6,"elo":1503,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Jeremiah Wells","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":810,"y":229.2,"elo":1488,"date":"2026-05-02","opp":"Jonathan Micallef","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 2, 2026 Jonathan Micallef L -15
Nov 1, 2025 Jeremiah Wells L -16
Dec 7, 2024 Vicente Luque L -14
Oct 12, 2024 Niko Price W +30
May 18, 2024 Ramiz Brahimaj W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 224 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
52% Head
  • Head 52%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
55% Distance
  • Distance 55%
  • Clinch 25%
  • Ground 20%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
2 of 4
0 KO/TKO 2 Sub 2 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1572
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Niko Price
Elo 1562 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 8 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1447
1566

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Themba Gorimbo on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.