HonestElo
← welterweight

Themba Gorimbo

Active #57 welterweight
Elo rating
1552 ±38
LCB 1502
Rank
#57
top 62% of division
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Nov 1, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Feb 18, 2023 — L vs Aj Fletcher Δ-38May 20, 2023 — W vs Takashi Sato Δ+30Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Pete Rodriguez Δ+34May 18, 2024 — W vs Ramiz Brahimaj Δ+27Oct 12, 2024 — W vs Niko Price Δ+30Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-14Nov 1, 2025 — L vs Jeremiah Wells Δ-16 14221472152215721622 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":193.6,"elo":1462,"date":"2023-02-18","opp":"Aj Fletcher","result":"L","delta":-38},{"i":1,"x":102.6,"y":162.2,"elo":1492,"date":"2023-05-20","opp":"Takashi Sato","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":326.1,"y":126.3,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Pete Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":416.8,"y":97.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Ramiz Brahimaj","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":543.7,"y":66.4,"elo":1582,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Niko Price","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":592,"y":81.5,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":98.3,"elo":1552,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Jeremiah Wells","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 1, 2025 Jeremiah Wells L -16
Dec 7, 2024 Vicente Luque L -14
Oct 12, 2024 Niko Price W +30
May 18, 2024 Ramiz Brahimaj W +27
Feb 3, 2024 Pete Rodriguez W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.31 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
61% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.13 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.31 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
66% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.38 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
1 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
75% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (75%) 3
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1559
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.5
actual +1 vs expected