HonestElo
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Dennis Siver

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1561 ±34
LCB 1516
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-8-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
+1
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jun 25, 2017
W by Decision

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Apr 21, 2007 — L vs Jess Liaudin Δ-33Sep 8, 2007 — W vs Naoyuki Kotani Δ+34Jan 23, 2008 — L vs Gray Maynard Δ-26Jul 5, 2008 — L vs Melvin Guillard Δ-30Jan 17, 2009 — W vs Nate Mohr Δ+35Jun 13, 2009 — W vs Dale Hartt Δ+20Nov 14, 2009 — W vs Paul Kelly Δ+22Mar 31, 2010 — L vs Ross Pearson Δ-14Jun 19, 2010 — W vs Spencer Fisher Δ+20Nov 13, 2010 — W vs Andre Winner Δ+17Feb 26, 2011 — W vs George Sotiropoulos Δ+22Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Matt Wiman Δ+18Oct 29, 2011 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-18Apr 14, 2012 — W vs Diego Nunes Δ+14Dec 8, 2012 — W vs Nam Phan Δ+12Jul 6, 2013 — L vs Cub Swanson Δ-17Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Charles Rosa Δ+13Jan 18, 2015 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-16Jun 20, 2015 — L vs Tatsuya Kawajiri Δ-19Jun 25, 2017 — W vs BJ Penn Δ+18 14041461151715741631 20092011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":177.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2007-04-21","opp":"Jess Liaudin","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":56.1,"y":145.8,"elo":1500,"date":"2007-09-08","opp":"Naoyuki Kotani","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":87.5,"y":170.2,"elo":1474,"date":"2008-01-23","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":125.1,"y":198.6,"elo":1444,"date":"2008-07-05","opp":"Melvin Guillard","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":4,"x":170,"y":166.1,"elo":1479,"date":"2009-01-17","opp":"Nate Mohr","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":203.7,"y":147.7,"elo":1498,"date":"2009-06-13","opp":"Dale Hartt","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":238.9,"y":127.2,"elo":1520,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Paul Kelly","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":7,"x":270.3,"y":140.5,"elo":1506,"date":"2010-03-31","opp":"Ross Pearson","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":288.7,"y":122.2,"elo":1526,"date":"2010-06-19","opp":"Spencer Fisher","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":322.4,"y":106.1,"elo":1543,"date":"2010-11-13","opp":"Andre Winner","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":346.4,"y":85.8,"elo":1565,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"George Sotiropoulos","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":11,"x":375.3,"y":69.3,"elo":1582,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":402.6,"y":85.9,"elo":1564,"date":"2011-10-29","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":441.1,"y":72.4,"elo":1579,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Diego Nunes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":14,"x":495.6,"y":61.4,"elo":1591,"date":"2012-12-08","opp":"Nam Phan","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":15,"x":543.7,"y":77.8,"elo":1573,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Cub Swanson","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":648,"y":65.9,"elo":1586,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Charles Rosa","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":17,"x":672.3,"y":80.6,"elo":1570,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":18,"x":707.3,"y":98.3,"elo":1551,"date":"2015-06-20","opp":"Tatsuya Kawajiri","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":81.9,"elo":1569,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 25, 2017 BJ Penn W +18
Jun 20, 2015 Tatsuya Kawajiri L -19
Jan 18, 2015 Conor McGregor L -16
Oct 4, 2014 Charles Rosa W +13
Jul 6, 2013 Cub Swanson L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.47 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
32% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.49 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
65% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.70 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
68% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.32 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
42%
5 / 12
Finish rate
KO
3
25% of wins
SUB
2
17% of wins
DEC
7
58% of wins
KO: 3 (25%) 3 Sub: 2 (17%) 2 Dec: 7 (58%) 7
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
2 40%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1567
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.6
actual +2 vs expected