HonestElo
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Jeremiah Wells

Active #37 welterweight · 175 cm
Elo rating
1585 ±38
LCB 1536
Rank
#37
top 40% of division
UFC record
5-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Nov 1, 2025
W by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Warlley Alves Δ+43Feb 12, 2022 — W vs Blood Diamond Δ+29Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Court McGee Δ+28Apr 22, 2023 — W vs Matthew Semelsberger Δ+28Aug 5, 2023 — L vs Carlston Harris Δ-40Feb 10, 2024 — L vs Max Griffin Δ-19Nov 1, 2025 — W vs Themba Gorimbo Δ+16 15031544158516261668 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.6,"elo":1543,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"W","delta":43},{"i":1,"x":147.9,"y":147.4,"elo":1572,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Blood Diamond","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":215.4,"y":110.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":380.6,"y":75.4,"elo":1628,"date":"2023-04-22","opp":"Matthew Semelsberger","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":436.9,"y":126.5,"elo":1588,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Carlston Harris","result":"L","delta":-40},{"i":5,"x":538.2,"y":150.5,"elo":1569,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":130.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Themba Gorimbo","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 1, 2025 Themba Gorimbo W +16
Feb 10, 2024 Max Griffin L -19
Aug 5, 2023 Carlston Harris L -40
Apr 22, 2023 Matthew Semelsberger W +28
Jun 18, 2022 Court McGee W +28

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.01 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.10 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.63 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
47% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.13 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1552
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.7
actual +1 vs expected