HonestElo
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Preston Parsons

Active #82 welterweight
Elo rating
1472 ±37
LCB 1424
Rank
#82
top 89% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +3 · Δ1y +3
Last fight
Jan 11, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-25Apr 23, 2022 — W vs Evan Elder Δ+31Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Trevin Giles Δ-26Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Matthew Semelsberger Δ+35Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Oban Elliott Δ-28Jan 11, 2025 — L vs Jacobe Smith Δ-18 14291460149215231555 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":158.3,"elo":1475,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":211.3,"y":106.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2022-04-23","opp":"Evan Elder","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":436,"y":150,"elo":1480,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Trevin Giles","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":632.6,"y":91.6,"elo":1515,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Matthew Semelsberger","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":763.6,"y":138.5,"elo":1487,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Oban Elliott","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":168.4,"elo":1469,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Jacobe Smith","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 11, 2025 Jacobe Smith L -18
Jul 27, 2024 Oban Elliott L -28
Jan 13, 2024 Matthew Semelsberger W +35
Mar 25, 2023 Trevin Giles L -26
Apr 23, 2022 Evan Elder W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.29 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.01 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.21 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
37% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
71% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.14 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1524
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual -1 vs expected