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Santiago Ponzinibbio "Argentine Dagger"

Active #39 welterweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 6'0" 183 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 58% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • Career-best 7-fight win streak
Elo rating
1533
Global Elo 1583 ±39
Rank
#39
top 51% of division
UFC record
12-8-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
May 3, 2025
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 47m
Avg fight time
11:20
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
1y 2mo

Honest Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2013 — L vs Ryan LaFlare Δ-26Sep 13, 2014 — W vs Wendell Oliveira Marques Δ+36Feb 22, 2015 — W vs Sean Strickland Δ+34Jun 27, 2015 — L vs Lorenz Larkin Δ-40Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Andreas Stahl Δ+30Apr 16, 2016 — W vs Court McGee Δ+19Aug 6, 2016 — W vs Zak Cummings Δ+18Feb 19, 2017 — W vs Nordine Taleb Δ+17Jul 16, 2017 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+21Dec 16, 2017 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+16Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+20Jan 16, 2021 — L vs Li Jingliang Δ-21Jun 5, 2021 — W vs Miguel Baeza Δ+15Dec 11, 2021 — L vs Geoff Neal Δ-17May 21, 2022 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-17Dec 10, 2022 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+19Apr 8, 2023 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-20Jul 13, 2024 — L vs Muslim Salikhov Δ-17Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Carlston Harris Δ+18May 3, 2025 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-19 140014501500155016001650 201520172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":380.6,"elo":1423,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Ryan LaFlare","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":142.9,"y":335,"elo":1459,"date":"2014-09-13","opp":"Wendell Oliveira Marques","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":170.7,"y":292,"elo":1492,"date":"2015-02-22","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":192.2,"y":343.6,"elo":1452,"date":"2015-06-27","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"L","delta":-40},{"i":4,"x":220.7,"y":304.9,"elo":1482,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Andreas Stahl","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":242.7,"y":280.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2016-04-16","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":261.9,"y":257.6,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":295.7,"y":236.3,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-02-19","opp":"Nordine Taleb","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":321,"y":210.1,"elo":1556,"date":"2017-07-16","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":347.2,"y":189.8,"elo":1572,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":404.9,"y":164.6,"elo":1592,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":11,"x":540.8,"y":192.1,"elo":1570,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":564.8,"y":172.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2021-06-05","opp":"Miguel Baeza","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":597.2,"y":194.4,"elo":1568,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":14,"x":624.9,"y":215.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2022-05-21","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":659.7,"y":191.6,"elo":1571,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":16,"x":680.2,"y":217.9,"elo":1550,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":759.5,"y":239.4,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Muslim Salikhov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":790.8,"y":216.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Carlston Harris","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":19,"x":810,"y":240,"elo":1533,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 3, 2025 Daniel Rodriguez L -19
Jan 11, 2025 Carlston Harris W +18
Jul 13, 2024 Muslim Salikhov L -17
Apr 8, 2023 Kevin Holland L -20
Dec 10, 2022 Alex Morono W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
7
58% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 7 (58%) 7 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
R3
2 29%
R4
1 14%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1083 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
95% Distance
  • Distance 95%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
4 of 8 · usually R3
4 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1591
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Neil Magny
Elo 1646 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 20 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1532
1598
Notable wins
Neil Magny 1646 Gunnar Nelson 1626 Alex Morono 1610 Mike Perry 1604

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Santiago Ponzinibbio on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.