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Daniel Rodriguez "D-Rod"

Active #18 welterweight · age 39 · Southpaw · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Aug 1
vs Uros Medic · UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
At a glance
Elo rating
1585
Global Elo 1632 ±37
Rank
#18
top 23% of division
UFC record
10-4-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Jul 19, 2025
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 43m
Avg fight time
11:36
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
2.6
Since last fight
11mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Tim Means Δ+38May 30, 2020 — W vs Gabe Green Δ+26Aug 22, 2020 — W vs Dwight Grant Δ+31Nov 21, 2020 — L vs Nicolas Dalby Δ-36Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Mike Perry Δ+29Jul 17, 2021 — W vs Preston Parsons Δ+14Aug 28, 2021 — W vs Kevin Lee Δ+17Sep 10, 2022 — W vs Li Jingliang Δ+16Nov 5, 2022 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-17May 13, 2023 — L vs Ian Machado Garry Δ-19Jun 22, 2024 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-16Oct 12, 2024 — W vs Alex Morono Δ+16May 3, 2025 — W vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ+19Jul 19, 2025 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+16 14501475150015251550157516001625 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":336.1,"elo":1490,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":1,"x":128.2,"y":289.3,"elo":1516,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Gabe Green","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":158.7,"y":232.4,"elo":1547,"date":"2020-08-22","opp":"Dwight Grant","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":191.8,"y":297.7,"elo":1511,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Nicolas Dalby","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":4,"x":242.7,"y":245.1,"elo":1540,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":278.3,"y":219.6,"elo":1554,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Preston Parsons","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":293.5,"y":188.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Kevin Lee","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":430.9,"y":160.6,"elo":1586,"date":"2022-09-10","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":451.3,"y":192,"elo":1569,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":520,"y":226.2,"elo":1551,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":667.5,"y":255.1,"elo":1535,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":708.2,"y":225.9,"elo":1551,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Alex Morono","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":782,"y":191.9,"elo":1569,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":163.5,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 19, 2025 Kevin Holland W +16
May 3, 2025 Santiago Ponzinibbio W +19
Oct 12, 2024 Alex Morono W +16
Jun 22, 2024 Kelvin Gastelum L -16
May 13, 2023 Ian Machado Garry L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
3
30% of wins
SUB
1
10% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 3 (30%) 3 Sub: 1 (10%) 1 Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1170 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
95% Distance
  • Distance 95%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 3%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
2 of 4
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1601
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Kevin Lee
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.2
+2.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1550
1606
Notable wins
Kevin Lee 1620 Li Jingliang 1608 Kevin Holland 1606 Santiago Ponzinibbio 1602

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Daniel Rodriguez on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.