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Eddie Alvarez

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1522
Global Elo 1572 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
4-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -11 · Δ1y -11
Last fight
Jul 28, 2018
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 20m
Avg fight time
11:25
Title fights
1-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
16m
Since last fight
7y 11mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Sep 27, 2014 — L vs Donald Cerrone Δ-16Jun 13, 2015 — W vs Gilbert Melendez Δ+30Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Anthony Pettis Δ+39Jul 7, 2016 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+58Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-31Dec 2, 2017 — W vs Justin Gaethje Δ+16Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-14 14001425145014751500152515501575 2015201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":368.1,"elo":1423,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":1,"x":223.2,"y":313.3,"elo":1453,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Gilbert Melendez","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":335.3,"y":241.8,"elo":1492,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Anthony Pettis","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":423.8,"y":135.5,"elo":1550,"date":"2016-07-07","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":58},{"i":4,"x":489.6,"y":191.7,"elo":1519,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":687.6,"y":161.9,"elo":1536,"date":"2017-12-02","opp":"Justin Gaethje","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":187.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 28, 2018 Dustin Poirier L -14
Dec 2, 2017 Justin Gaethje W +16
Nov 12, 2016 Conor McGregor L -31
Jul 7, 2016 Rafael Dos Anjos W +58
Jan 17, 2016 Anthony Pettis W +39

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 356 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 19%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1654
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rafael Dos Anjos
Elo 1702 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.7
+1.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1668
1681
Notable wins
Rafael Dos Anjos 1702 Anthony Pettis 1644

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Eddie Alvarez on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.