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Shavkat Rakhmonov "Nomad"

Active #3 welterweight · age 31 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 7-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 86% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1679
Global Elo 1705 ±20
Rank
#3
top 3% of division
UFC record
7-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 5 · Dec 1
Streak
+7
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Dec 7, 2024
Win by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 15m
Avg fight time
10:44
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.7
Ground control
37m
Since last fight
1y 7mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+42Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Michel Prazeres Δ+40Feb 5, 2022 — W vs Carlston Harris Δ+32Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+39Mar 4, 2023 — W vs Geoff Neal Δ+33Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+16Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Ian Machado Garry Δ+15 145015001550160016501700 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":341.9,"elo":1503,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":1,"x":207.2,"y":290.4,"elo":1543,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":2,"x":314.4,"y":250,"elo":1575,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Carlston Harris","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":381.3,"y":200,"elo":1614,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":501.9,"y":157.2,"elo":1648,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":639.2,"y":136.8,"elo":1663,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":117.3,"elo":1679,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2024 Ian Machado Garry W +15
Dec 16, 2023 Stephen Thompson W +16
Mar 4, 2023 Geoff Neal W +33
Jun 25, 2022 Neil Magny W +39
Feb 5, 2022 Carlston Harris W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
5
71% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 5 (71%) 5 Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
3 50%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 244 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 20%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Unbeaten in the UFC
7-0 — no losses on record

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1645
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
5
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ian Machado Garry
Elo 1686 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.3
+3.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1592
1686
Notable wins
Ian Machado Garry 1686 Neil Magny 1677 Geoff Neal 1656 Stephen Thompson 1638 Michel Prazeres 1617

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Sean Brady
#6 · Elo 1645
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Shavkat Rakhmonov on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.