HonestElo
← welterweight

Shavkat Rakhmonov

Active #3 welterweight · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1710 ±20
LCB 1684
Rank
#3
top 2% of division
UFC record
7-0-0
KO 1 · Sub 5 · Dec 1
Streak
+7
Δ90d -7 · Δ1y -7
Last fight
Dec 7, 2024
W by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+42Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Michel Prazeres Δ+40Feb 5, 2022 — W vs Carlston Harris Δ+32Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+39Mar 4, 2023 — W vs Geoff Neal Δ+33Dec 16, 2023 — W vs Stephen Thompson Δ+16Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Ian Machado Garry Δ+15 15021566162916931757 2021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.8,"elo":1542,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":1,"x":162.7,"y":169.5,"elo":1582,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Michel Prazeres","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":2,"x":289.5,"y":143.2,"elo":1614,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Carlston Harris","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":368.8,"y":110.8,"elo":1653,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":511.4,"y":83.1,"elo":1686,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":673.9,"y":69.9,"elo":1702,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":57.2,"elo":1717,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2024 Ian Machado Garry W +15
Dec 16, 2023 Stephen Thompson W +16
Mar 4, 2023 Geoff Neal W +33
Jun 25, 2022 Neil Magny W +39
Feb 5, 2022 Carlston Harris W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.05 avg 3.61
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
60% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.04 avg 2.86
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.31 avg 1.81
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
26% avg 43%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.13 avg 0.42
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
86%
6 / 7
Finish rate
KO
1
14% of wins
SUB
5
71% of wins
DEC
1
14% of wins
KO: 1 (14%) 1 Sub: 5 (71%) 5 Dec: 1 (14%) 1
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
3 50%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1645
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.3
actual +4 vs expected