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Colby Covington "Chaos"

Active #16 welterweight · age 38 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1595
Global Elo 1643 ±37
Rank
#16
top 20% of division
UFC record
12-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
-2
Δ90d -9 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Dec 14, 2024
Loss by KO · R3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

17 fights · tap & drag
Aug 23, 2014 — W vs Anying Wang Δ+36Nov 8, 2014 — W vs Wagner Silva Δ+27May 23, 2015 — W vs Mike Pyle Δ+30Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Warlley Alves Δ-32Jun 18, 2016 — W vs Jonathan Meunier Δ+27Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+14Dec 17, 2016 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+15Jun 17, 2017 — W vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ+19Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Demian Maia Δ+19Jun 9, 2018 — W vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ+22Aug 3, 2019 — W vs Robbie Lawler Δ+14Dec 14, 2019 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-20Sep 19, 2020 — W vs Tyron Woodley Δ+18Nov 6, 2021 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-14Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Jorge Masvidal Δ+14Dec 16, 2023 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-18Dec 14, 2024 — L vs Joaquin Buckley Δ-18 145015001550160016501700 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":373.9,"elo":1478,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Anying Wang","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":104.7,"y":339.9,"elo":1505,"date":"2014-11-08","opp":"Wagner Silva","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":142.2,"y":301.3,"elo":1535,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":181,"y":342.3,"elo":1503,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":217.1,"y":307.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-06-18","opp":"Jonathan Meunier","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":229.2,"y":289.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":251.9,"y":270.1,"elo":1559,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":286.7,"y":246.2,"elo":1578,"date":"2017-06-17","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":312.2,"y":221.6,"elo":1597,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":355,"y":193,"elo":1620,"date":"2018-06-09","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":10,"x":435.3,"y":175.5,"elo":1633,"date":"2019-08-03","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":11,"x":460.7,"y":201.6,"elo":1613,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":514.2,"y":178.7,"elo":1631,"date":"2020-09-19","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":593.2,"y":196.5,"elo":1617,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":615.9,"y":179.1,"elo":1630,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":15,"x":740.4,"y":201.6,"elo":1613,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":16,"x":810,"y":224.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Joaquin Buckley","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 14, 2024 Joaquin Buckley L -18
Dec 16, 2023 Leon Edwards L -18
Mar 5, 2022 Jorge Masvidal W +14
Nov 6, 2021 Kamaru Usman L -14
Sep 19, 2020 Tyron Woodley W +18
2 post-fight bonuses
  • Fight of the Night ×2
$100,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Colby Covington has earned 2. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
42%
5 / 12
Finish rate
KO
3
25% of wins
SUB
2
17% of wins
DEC
7
58% of wins
KO: 3 (25%) 3 Sub: 2 (17%) 2 Dec: 7 (58%) 7
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
1 20%
R2
R3
3 60%
R4
R5
1 20%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1099 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5
2 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1688
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Demian Maia
Elo 1705 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.5
+3.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 17 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1529
1626
Notable wins
Demian Maia 1705 Rafael Dos Anjos 1696 Dong Hyun Kim 1677 Tyron Woodley 1663 Robbie Lawler 1626 Jorge Masvidal 1624
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 48m
Avg fight time
16:57
Fights per year
1.6
Since last fight
1y 8mo
Title fights
1-3
Bonuses
2
Ground control
2h 5m
vs Compare Colby Covington with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Colby Covington on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.