HonestElo
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Kiefer Crosbie

Active #91 welterweight
Elo rating
1410 ±20
LCB 1384
Rank
#91
top 99% of division
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
Aug 23, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Sep 9, 2023 — L vs Kevin Jousset Δ-33Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Sam Patterson Δ-30Aug 23, 2025 — L vs Taiyilake Nueraji Δ-27 13701404143814731507 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":85.8,"elo":1467,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Kevin Jousset","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":408.2,"y":132.2,"elo":1437,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Sam Patterson","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":174.2,"elo":1410,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Taiyilake Nueraji","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 23, 2025 Taiyilake Nueraji L -27
Jul 27, 2024 Sam Patterson L -30
Sep 9, 2023 Kevin Jousset L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.33 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
64% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.33 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
40% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.4
actual -1 vs expected