HonestElo
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Diego Brandao

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 163 cm
Elo rating
1559 ±34
LCB 1515
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Jan 2, 2016
L by Submission

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Dec 3, 2011 — W vs Dennis Bermudez Δ+41May 26, 2012 — L vs Darren Elkins Δ-28Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Joey Gambino Δ+25Apr 6, 2013 — W vs Pablo Garza Δ+32Aug 17, 2013 — W vs Daniel Pineda Δ+25Dec 28, 2013 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-19Jul 19, 2014 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-19Apr 18, 2015 — W vs Jimy Hettes Δ+15Sep 26, 2015 — W vs Katsunori Kikuno Δ+15Jan 2, 2016 — L vs Brian Ortega Δ-21 14741514155515951636 20122013201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":147.1,"elo":1541,"date":"2011-12-03","opp":"Dennis Bermudez","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":124,"y":183.7,"elo":1514,"date":"2012-05-26","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":204,"y":150.4,"elo":1539,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Joey Gambino","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":304,"y":109.1,"elo":1571,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Pablo Garza","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":380,"y":76.3,"elo":1596,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Daniel Pineda","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":456,"y":100.9,"elo":1577,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":572,"y":125.6,"elo":1558,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":728,"y":106.6,"elo":1572,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Jimy Hettes","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":820,"y":87.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2015-09-26","opp":"Katsunori Kikuno","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":114.7,"elo":1566,"date":"2016-01-02","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 2, 2016 Brian Ortega L -21
Sep 26, 2015 Katsunori Kikuno W +15
Apr 18, 2015 Jimy Hettes W +15
Jul 19, 2014 Conor McGregor L -19
Dec 28, 2013 Dustin Poirier L -19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.59 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.98 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.83 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
68% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
3 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
2
33% of wins
KO: 1 (20%) 1 Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
4 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1545
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.4
actual +1 vs expected