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Conor McGregor "The Notorious"

Active #13 welterweight · age 38 · Southpaw · 5'9" 175 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 2 successful title defenses
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 80% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1618
Global Elo 1665 ±36
Rank
#13
top 16% of division
UFC record
10-5-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d -16 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Jul 11, 2026
Loss by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2013 — W vs Marcus Brimage Δ+41Aug 17, 2013 — W vs Max Holloway Δ+28Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Diego Brandao Δ+34Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+35Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+28Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Chad Mendes Δ+21Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+26Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-23Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Nate Diaz Δ+14Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Eddie Alvarez Δ+17Oct 6, 2018 — L vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Δ-24Jan 18, 2020 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+17Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-19Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-14Jul 11, 2026 — L vs Max Holloway Δ-16 145015001550160016501700 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":353.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Marcus Brimage","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":109.8,"y":318.1,"elo":1522,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":159.7,"y":274.8,"elo":1556,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Diego Brandao","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":170.1,"y":229.8,"elo":1591,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":186.9,"y":193.7,"elo":1619,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":212.8,"y":166.9,"elo":1640,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Chad Mendes","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":235.7,"y":133.9,"elo":1666,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":7,"x":248.2,"y":163.2,"elo":1643,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":8,"x":273.1,"y":145.2,"elo":1657,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":285.6,"y":123.4,"elo":1674,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":388.6,"y":153.9,"elo":1650,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":458.3,"y":132.4,"elo":1667,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":513.5,"y":156.3,"elo":1648,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":538.4,"y":174.7,"elo":1634,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":810,"y":195.5,"elo":1618,"date":"2026-07-11","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 11, 2026 Max Holloway L -16
Jul 10, 2021 Dustin Poirier L -14
Jan 23, 2021 Dustin Poirier L -19
Jan 18, 2020 Donald Cerrone W +17
Oct 6, 2018 Khabib Nurmagomedov L -24
10 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×7
  • Fight of the Night ×2
  • Knockout of the Night ×1
$450,000 in bonus money, plus 1 at rates we can't cite

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Conor McGregor has earned 10. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
8 / 10
Finish rate
KO
8
80% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
20% of wins
KO: 8 (80%) 8 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (20%) 2
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
5 63%
R2
3 38%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 599 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 13%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
5 of 5 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 2 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1708
Elite slate
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
6
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jose Aldo
Elo 1730 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.7
+2.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 15 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1584
1724
Notable wins
Jose Aldo 1730 Donald Cerrone 1667 Nate Diaz 1649 Chad Mendes 1634 Dustin Poirier 1625 Eddie Alvarez 1611
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 54m
Avg fight time
7:35
Fights per year
1.1
Since last fight
1mo
Title fights
3-1
Bonuses
10
vs Compare Conor McGregor with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Conor McGregor on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.