HonestElo
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Conor McGregor

Inactive · Southpaw · 175 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1646 ±43
LCB 1590
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-4-0
KO 8 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d -35 · Δ1y -35
Last fight
Jul 10, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2013 — W vs Marcus Brimage Δ+41Aug 17, 2013 — W vs Max Holloway Δ+28Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Diego Brandao Δ+34Sep 27, 2014 — W vs Dustin Poirier Δ+35Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Dennis Siver Δ+28Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Chad Mendes Δ+21Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+26Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Nate Diaz Δ-23Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Nate Diaz Δ+14Nov 12, 2016 — W vs Eddie Alvarez Δ+17Oct 6, 2018 — L vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Δ-24Jan 18, 2020 — W vs Donald Cerrone Δ+17Jan 23, 2021 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-19Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Dustin Poirier Δ-14 15011566163116961761 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":203.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2013-04-06","opp":"Marcus Brimage","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":61.6,"y":180.6,"elo":1569,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Max Holloway","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":156.4,"y":153,"elo":1603,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Diego Brandao","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":176.2,"y":124.4,"elo":1638,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":208.1,"y":101.4,"elo":1666,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":257.3,"y":84.4,"elo":1687,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Chad Mendes","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":6,"x":300.8,"y":63.3,"elo":1713,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":7,"x":324.5,"y":82,"elo":1690,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":8,"x":371.9,"y":70.5,"elo":1704,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Nate Diaz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":9,"x":395.6,"y":56.6,"elo":1721,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Eddie Alvarez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":591.3,"y":76,"elo":1697,"date":"2018-10-06","opp":"Khabib Nurmagomedov","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":11,"x":723.8,"y":62.3,"elo":1714,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Donald Cerrone","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":828.6,"y":77.6,"elo":1695,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":89.4,"elo":1681,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Dustin Poirier","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 10, 2021 Dustin Poirier L -14
Jan 23, 2021 Dustin Poirier L -19
Jan 18, 2020 Donald Cerrone W +17
Oct 6, 2018 Khabib Nurmagomedov L -24
Nov 12, 2016 Eddie Alvarez W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.28 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.74 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.54 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
56% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.11 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
80%
8 / 10
Finish rate
KO
8
80% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
20% of wins
KO: 8 (80%) 8 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (20%) 2
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
5 63%
R2
3 38%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1685
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.3
actual +3 vs expected