HonestElo
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Chad Mendes

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1586 ±36
LCB 1538
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-5-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Dec 29, 2018
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Michihiro Omigawa Δ+25Aug 6, 2011 — W vs Rani Yahya Δ+29Jan 14, 2012 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-37Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Cody McKenzie Δ+32Dec 14, 2012 — W vs Yaotzin Meza Δ+29Apr 20, 2013 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+20Aug 31, 2013 — W vs Clay Guida Δ+17Dec 14, 2013 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+17Oct 25, 2014 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-15Apr 4, 2015 — W vs Ricardo Lamas Δ+19Jul 11, 2015 — L vs Conor McGregor Δ-21Dec 11, 2015 — L vs Frankie Edgar Δ-15Jul 14, 2018 — W vs Myles Jury Δ+21Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-17 14761526157516241674 201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":184.2,"elo":1525,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Michihiro Omigawa","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":77.8,"y":153.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2011-08-06","opp":"Rani Yahya","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":125.3,"y":193.1,"elo":1516,"date":"2012-01-14","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":3,"x":177,"y":158.9,"elo":1548,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Cody McKenzie","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":224.3,"y":128.2,"elo":1577,"date":"2012-12-14","opp":"Yaotzin Meza","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":261.8,"y":106.6,"elo":1597,"date":"2013-04-20","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":301.1,"y":88.3,"elo":1614,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Clay Guida","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":332.1,"y":70.6,"elo":1630,"date":"2013-12-14","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":425.2,"y":86.9,"elo":1615,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":472.7,"y":66.9,"elo":1634,"date":"2015-04-04","opp":"Ricardo Lamas","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":501.7,"y":89.3,"elo":1613,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Conor McGregor","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":546.9,"y":105.1,"elo":1598,"date":"2015-12-11","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":12,"x":826.4,"y":82.8,"elo":1619,"date":"2018-07-14","opp":"Myles Jury","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":100.9,"elo":1602,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 29, 2018 Alexander Volkanovski L -17
Jul 14, 2018 Myles Jury W +21
Dec 11, 2015 Frankie Edgar L -15
Jul 11, 2015 Conor McGregor L -21
Apr 4, 2015 Ricardo Lamas W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.72 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.37 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
67% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.89 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
100% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.21 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
6 / 9
Finish rate
KO
6
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
33% of wins
KO: 6 (67%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
5 83%
R2
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1652
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.7
actual +2 vs expected