HonestElo
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Jacare Souza

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1585 ±39
LCB 1535
Rank
UFC record
9-7-0
KO 4 · Sub 4 · Dec 1
Streak
-4
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y -14
Last fight
May 15, 2021
L by Submission

Elo history

16 fights · tap & drag
May 18, 2013 — W vs Chris Camozzi Δ+40Sep 4, 2013 — W vs Yushin Okami Δ+45Feb 15, 2014 — W vs Francis Carmont Δ+34Sep 5, 2014 — W vs Gegard Mousasi Δ+27Apr 18, 2015 — W vs Chris Camozzi Δ+20Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-15May 14, 2016 — W vs Vitor Belfort Δ+19Feb 11, 2017 — W vs Tim Boetsch Δ+13Apr 15, 2017 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-21Jan 27, 2018 — W vs Derek Brunson Δ+18May 12, 2018 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-16Nov 3, 2018 — W vs Chris Weidman Δ+21Apr 27, 2019 — L vs Jack Hermansson Δ-20Nov 16, 2019 — L vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-20Dec 12, 2020 — L vs Kevin Holland Δ-21May 15, 2021 — L vs Andre Muniz Δ-21 15001555161116661722 2015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.8,"elo":1540,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Chris Camozzi","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":1,"x":55.8,"y":155.2,"elo":1584,"date":"2013-09-04","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"W","delta":45},{"i":2,"x":103.7,"y":122.8,"elo":1618,"date":"2014-02-15","opp":"Francis Carmont","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":162.6,"y":97,"elo":1645,"date":"2014-09-05","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":228.3,"y":78.3,"elo":1665,"date":"2015-04-18","opp":"Chris Camozzi","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":5,"x":297.8,"y":92.8,"elo":1650,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":342.7,"y":74.8,"elo":1668,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":422.4,"y":62.6,"elo":1681,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":440.8,"y":82.9,"elo":1660,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":9,"x":524.6,"y":66.2,"elo":1678,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":555.2,"y":81.8,"elo":1661,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":606.3,"y":62.2,"elo":1682,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":12,"x":657.4,"y":81.5,"elo":1661,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":13,"x":716.6,"y":100.9,"elo":1641,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":831.1,"y":121,"elo":1620,"date":"2020-12-12","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":15,"x":876,"y":141.4,"elo":1599,"date":"2021-05-15","opp":"Andre Muniz","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 15, 2021 Andre Muniz L -21
Dec 12, 2020 Kevin Holland L -21
Nov 16, 2019 Jan Blachowicz L -20
Apr 27, 2019 Jack Hermansson L -20
Nov 3, 2018 Chris Weidman W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.54 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.07 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.37 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
28% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
63% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.69 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
89%
8 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
4
44% of wins
DEC
1
11% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 4 (44%) 4 Dec: 1 (11%) 1
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
6 75%
R2
R3
2 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1602
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.5
actual 0 vs expected