HonestElo
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Reinier De Ridder

Active #20 middleweight
Elo rating
1603 ±39
LCB 1553
Rank
#20
top 24% of division
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d -14 · Δ1y +25
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Nov 9, 2024 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+41Jan 18, 2025 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+37May 3, 2025 — W vs Bo Nickal Δ+36Jul 26, 2025 — W vs Robert Whittaker Δ+35Oct 18, 2025 — L vs Brendan Allen Δ-31Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Caio Borralho Δ-14 15011548159516421689 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":190.9,"elo":1541,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":147.5,"y":148.8,"elo":1578,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":332.7,"y":108.3,"elo":1614,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Bo Nickal","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":480.9,"y":69.1,"elo":1649,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":4,"x":629,"y":104.3,"elo":1618,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Brendan Allen","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":120.7,"elo":1603,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Caio Borralho","result":"L","delta":-14}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Caio Borralho L -14
Oct 18, 2025 Brendan Allen L -31
Jul 26, 2025 Robert Whittaker W +35
May 3, 2025 Bo Nickal W +36
Jan 18, 2025 Kevin Holland W +37

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.26 avg 3.89
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.16 avg 3.11
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.33 avg 1.38
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
29% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
40% avg 71%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
1
25% of wins
SUB
2
50% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 1 (25%) 1 Sub: 2 (50%) 2 Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1640
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual +1 vs expected