HonestElo
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Billy Elekana

Active #19 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1563 ±34
LCB 1519
Rank
#19
top 39% of division
UFC record
3-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
+3
Δ90d +26 · Δ1y +92
Last fight
Jan 31, 2026
W by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Bogdan Guskov Δ-29Jul 26, 2025 — W vs Ibo Aslan Δ+33Nov 1, 2025 — W vs Kevin Christian Δ+33Jan 31, 2026 — W vs Junior Tafa Δ+26 14311474151715601603 2026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":186.7,"elo":1471,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Bogdan Guskov","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":450,"y":146.3,"elo":1504,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Ibo Aslan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":670.9,"y":105.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Kevin Christian","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":73.3,"elo":1563,"date":"2026-01-31","opp":"Junior Tafa","result":"W","delta":26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 31, 2026 Junior Tafa W +26
Nov 1, 2025 Kevin Christian W +33
Jul 26, 2025 Ibo Aslan W +33
Jan 18, 2025 Bogdan Guskov L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.40 avg 3.70
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.17 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.75 avg 0.35
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
67% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (67%) 2 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1507
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual +1 vs expected