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Zhang Mingyang "Mountain Tiger"

Active #26 light heavyweight · age 27 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1479
Global Elo 1529 ±38
Rank
#26
top 64% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d -32 · Δ1y -69
Last fight
May 30, 2026
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
20m
Avg fight time
4:00
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.2
Since last fight
21d

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Brendson Ribeiro Δ+33Nov 23, 2024 — W vs Ozzy Diaz Δ+30Apr 26, 2025 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+35Aug 23, 2025 — L vs Johnny Walker Δ-37May 30, 2026 — L vs Alonzo Menifield Δ-32 14401460148015001520154015601580 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":310.1,"elo":1484,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Brendson Ribeiro","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":332,"y":241.5,"elo":1514,"date":"2024-11-23","opp":"Ozzy Diaz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":465.1,"y":162.5,"elo":1548,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":568,"y":247.3,"elo":1511,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":320.2,"elo":1479,"date":"2026-05-30","opp":"Alonzo Menifield","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 30, 2026 Alonzo Menifield L -32
Aug 23, 2025 Johnny Walker L -37
Apr 26, 2025 Anthony Smith W +35
Nov 23, 2024 Ozzy Diaz W +30
Feb 17, 2024 Brendson Ribeiro W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
3
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (100%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 133 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
65% Distance
  • Distance 65%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
2 of 2
2 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1542
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Anthony Smith
Elo 1579 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.6
+0.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1574

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Zhang Mingyang on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.