HonestElo
← light heavyweight

Oumar Sy

Active #32 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1527 ±38
LCB 1478
Rank
#32
top 67% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d -38 · Δ1y -37
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
L by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
May 18, 2024 — W vs Tuco Tokkos Δ+33Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Da Woon Jung Δ+31Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Alonzo Menifield Δ-28Sep 6, 2025 — W vs Brendson Ribeiro Δ+28Mar 14, 2026 — L vs Ion Cutelaba Δ-38 14871516154615751605 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":152.5,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Tuco Tokkos","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":194.4,"y":96.8,"elo":1564,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Da Woon Jung","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":526.2,"y":146.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Alonzo Menifield","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":3,"x":633.9,"y":95.9,"elo":1565,"date":"2025-09-06","opp":"Brendson Ribeiro","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":164.1,"elo":1527,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Ion Cutelaba","result":"L","delta":-38}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Ion Cutelaba L -38
Sep 6, 2025 Brendson Ribeiro W +28
Jun 14, 2025 Alonzo Menifield L -28
Sep 28, 2024 Da Woon Jung W +31
May 18, 2024 Tuco Tokkos W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.24 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.78 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
67% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.33 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.33 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual 0 vs expected