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Alexander Gustafsson

Inactive · Orthodox · 196 cm · reach 201 cm
Elo rating
1565 ±34
LCB 1521
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-8-0
KO 5 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d -10 · Δ1y -10
Last fight
Jul 23, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Nov 14, 2009 — W vs Jared Hamman Δ+33Apr 10, 2010 — L vs Phil Davis Δ-33Oct 16, 2010 — W vs Cyrille Diabate Δ+37Feb 26, 2011 — W vs James Te Huna Δ+33Aug 6, 2011 — W vs Matt Hamill Δ+38Dec 30, 2011 — W vs Vladimir Matyushenko Δ+17Apr 14, 2012 — W vs Thiago Silva Δ+15Dec 8, 2012 — W vs Mauricio Rua Δ+15Sep 21, 2013 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-13Mar 8, 2014 — W vs Jimi Manuwa Δ+16Jan 24, 2015 — L vs Anthony Johnson Δ-21Oct 3, 2015 — L vs Daniel Cormier Δ-20Sep 3, 2016 — W vs Jan Blachowicz Δ+11May 28, 2017 — W vs Glover Teixeira Δ+21Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Jon Jones Δ-12Jun 1, 2019 — L vs Anthony Smith Δ-20Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Fabricio Werdum Δ-18Jul 23, 2022 — L vs Nikita Krylov Δ-21 14601519157816371695 2012201520182021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170,"elo":1533,"date":"2009-11-14","opp":"Jared Hamman","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":51,"y":200,"elo":1500,"date":"2010-04-10","opp":"Phil Davis","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":85.8,"y":166.9,"elo":1537,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"Cyrille Diabate","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":110.2,"y":137.6,"elo":1569,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"James Te Huna","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":139.8,"y":103.8,"elo":1607,"date":"2011-08-06","opp":"Matt Hamill","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":166.7,"y":88.6,"elo":1624,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Vladimir Matyushenko","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":186.2,"y":75.4,"elo":1638,"date":"2012-04-14","opp":"Thiago Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":229.9,"y":62.3,"elo":1653,"date":"2012-12-08","opp":"Mauricio Rua","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":282.7,"y":74.3,"elo":1640,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":313.6,"y":60,"elo":1655,"date":"2014-03-08","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":10,"x":372.8,"y":78.9,"elo":1634,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Anthony Johnson","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":419.1,"y":96.9,"elo":1614,"date":"2015-10-03","opp":"Daniel Cormier","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":480.9,"y":86.7,"elo":1626,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":13,"x":530,"y":67.8,"elo":1647,"date":"2017-05-28","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":14,"x":636.6,"y":79,"elo":1634,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Jon Jones","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":15,"x":664.9,"y":97.2,"elo":1614,"date":"2019-06-01","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":16,"x":742.2,"y":113.4,"elo":1596,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Fabricio Werdum","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":132.4,"elo":1575,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Nikita Krylov","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 23, 2022 Nikita Krylov L -21
Jul 25, 2020 Fabricio Werdum L -18
Jun 1, 2019 Anthony Smith L -20
Dec 29, 2018 Jon Jones L -12
May 28, 2017 Glover Teixeira W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.41 avg 3.66
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.00 avg 3.38
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.30 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
84% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.34 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
70%
7 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
2
20% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 5 (50%) 5 Sub: 2 (20%) 2 Dec: 3 (30%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
R4
R5
1 14%

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1652
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.9
actual +1 vs expected