HonestElo
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Magomed Ankalaev

Active #2 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1692 ±28
LCB 1656
Rank
#2
top 2% of division
UFC record
12-2-1
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -24
Last fight
Oct 4, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Mar 17, 2018 — L vs Paul Craig Δ-36Sep 15, 2018 — W vs Marcin Prachnio Δ+34Feb 23, 2019 — W vs Klidson Abreu Δ+29Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Dalcha Lungiambula Δ+34Feb 29, 2020 — W vs Ion Cutelaba Δ+33Oct 24, 2020 — W vs Ion Cutelaba Δ+15Feb 27, 2021 — W vs Nikita Krylov Δ+15Oct 30, 2021 — W vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ+13Mar 12, 2022 — W vs Thiago Santos Δ+15Jul 30, 2022 — W vs Anthony Smith Δ+18Dec 10, 2022 — D vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-1Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Johnny Walker Δ+14Oct 26, 2024 — W vs Aleksandar Rakic Δ+12Mar 8, 2025 — W vs Alex Pereira Δ+22Oct 4, 2025 — L vs Alex Pereira Δ-24 14241507159016731756 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":210.5,"elo":1464,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Paul Craig","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":80.2,"y":188.7,"elo":1498,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Marcin Prachnio","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":130,"y":170.2,"elo":1527,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Klidson Abreu","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":210,"y":148.7,"elo":1561,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Dalcha Lungiambula","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":244.6,"y":128,"elo":1593,"date":"2020-02-29","opp":"Ion Cutelaba","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":318.1,"y":118.1,"elo":1609,"date":"2020-10-24","opp":"Ion Cutelaba","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":6,"x":357,"y":108.7,"elo":1623,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Nikita Krylov","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":432.7,"y":100.6,"elo":1636,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":473.8,"y":90.9,"elo":1651,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":517,"y":79.6,"elo":1669,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Anthony Smith","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":558.1,"y":80.1,"elo":1668,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"D","delta":-1},{"i":11,"x":681.4,"y":71,"elo":1682,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":12,"x":770,"y":63.6,"elo":1694,"date":"2024-10-26","opp":"Aleksandar Rakic","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":811.1,"y":49.5,"elo":1716,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Alex Pereira","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":64.7,"elo":1692,"date":"2025-10-04","opp":"Alex Pereira","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 4, 2025 Alex Pereira L -24
Mar 8, 2025 Alex Pereira W +22
Oct 26, 2024 Aleksandar Rakic W +12
Jan 13, 2024 Johnny Walker W +14
Dec 10, 2022 Jan Blachowicz D -1

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.30 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.32 avg 3.41
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 49%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.66 avg 0.72
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
88% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
6 / 12
Finish rate
KO
6
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
50% of wins
KO: 6 (50%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (50%) 6
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
2 33%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1653
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.0
actual +4 vs expected