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Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Inactive · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1571 ±39
LCB 1521
Rank
—
—
UFC record
11-7-0
KO 6 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
+1
Δ90d -4 · Δ1y -4
Last fight
Feb 17, 2024
W by KO

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
May 31, 2014 — W vs Richardson Moreira Δ+33Dec 20, 2014 — W vs Igor Pokrajac Δ+27Aug 23, 2015 — L vs Nikita Krylov Δ-35Apr 23, 2016 — W vs Clint Hester Δ+36Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Gadzhimurad Antigulov Δ-39Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Jeremy Kimball Δ+17Apr 22, 2017 — L vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ-17Nov 3, 2018 — W vs Adam Wieczorek Δ+18Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Stefan Struve Δ-18Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Ben Sosoli Δ+17Nov 7, 2020 — L vs Alexandr Romanov Δ-19May 8, 2021 — W vs Maurice Greene Δ+16Nov 13, 2021 — W vs Ben Rothwell Δ+20May 7, 2022 — L vs Blagoy Ivanov Δ-18Oct 29, 2022 — W vs Andrei Arlovski Δ+22Apr 29, 2023 — W vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Δ+15Jul 29, 2023 — L vs Derrick Lewis Δ-17Feb 17, 2024 — W vs Junior Tafa Δ+16 14801514154815811615 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":152.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Richardson Moreira","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":72.7,"y":110,"elo":1560,"date":"2014-12-20","opp":"Igor Pokrajac","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":131.8,"y":165.8,"elo":1525,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Nikita Krylov","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":3,"x":190.4,"y":110,"elo":1560,"date":"2016-04-23","opp":"Clint Hester","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":240.8,"y":170.9,"elo":1522,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Gadzhimurad Antigulov","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":5,"x":257.6,"y":143.9,"elo":1539,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Jeremy Kimball","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":277.8,"y":170.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":412.2,"y":142.8,"elo":1539,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Adam Wieczorek","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":439.1,"y":170.9,"elo":1522,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Stefan Struve","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":526.5,"y":143.8,"elo":1539,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Ben Sosoli","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":588.6,"y":173.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2020-11-07","opp":"Alexandr Romanov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":632.3,"y":148.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Maurice Greene","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":12,"x":677.7,"y":116.9,"elo":1556,"date":"2021-11-13","opp":"Ben Rothwell","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":719.7,"y":145.8,"elo":1538,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Blagoy Ivanov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":14,"x":761.7,"y":110.7,"elo":1560,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Andrei Arlovski","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":15,"x":805.4,"y":86.9,"elo":1575,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Waldo Cortes Acosta","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":16,"x":827.3,"y":112.9,"elo":1558,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Derrick Lewis","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":88,"elo":1574,"date":"2024-02-17","opp":"Junior Tafa","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 17, 2024 Junior Tafa W +16
Jul 29, 2023 Derrick Lewis L -17
Apr 29, 2023 Waldo Cortes Acosta W +15
Oct 29, 2022 Andrei Arlovski W +22
May 7, 2022 Blagoy Ivanov L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.59 avg 3.08
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
60% avg 50%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.74 avg 2.78
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 52%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.14 avg 1.28
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 40%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
67% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.41 avg 0.31
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
73%
8 / 11
Finish rate
KO
6
55% of wins
SUB
2
18% of wins
DEC
3
27% of wins
KO: 6 (55%) 6 Sub: 2 (18%) 2 Dec: 3 (27%) 3
Finishes by round
8 total
R1
7 88%
R2
1 13%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1556
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.1
actual +2 vs expected