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Nikita Krylov "The Miner"

Active #17 light heavyweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs Robert Whittaker · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
Elo rating
1532
Global Elo 1583 ±40
Rank
#17
top 41% of division
UFC record
12-9-0
KO 5 · Sub 5 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
Win by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 26m
Avg fight time
6:58
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
1.7
Ground control
53m
Since last fight
5mo

Honest Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Aug 31, 2013 — L vs Soa Palelei Δ-36Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+34Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ-27Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Cody Donovan Δ+32Jan 24, 2015 — W vs Stanislav Nedkov Δ+33Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Δ+20May 8, 2016 — W vs Francimar Barroso Δ+18Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+18Dec 10, 2016 — L vs Misha Cirkunov Δ-18Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-20Apr 13, 2019 — W vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ+21Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-12Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Johnny Walker Δ+17Feb 27, 2021 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-15Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Paul Craig Δ-19Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ+21Oct 22, 2022 — W vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ+16Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Ryan Spann Δ+20Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Dominick Reyes Δ-17Jul 26, 2025 — L vs Bogdan Guskov Δ-19Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+18 135014001450150015501600 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":329.9,"elo":1413,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Soa Palelei","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":113.4,"y":286.6,"elo":1446,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":121.2,"y":321.3,"elo":1419,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":141.2,"y":280,"elo":1452,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Cody Donovan","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":171.2,"y":238.2,"elo":1484,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Stanislav Nedkov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":204.8,"y":213,"elo":1504,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Marcos Rogerio de Lima","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":246,"y":189.6,"elo":1522,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Francimar Barroso","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":259.1,"y":166.2,"elo":1541,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":280.3,"y":189.8,"elo":1522,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Misha Cirkunov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":382.7,"y":216.1,"elo":1502,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":10,"x":416.1,"y":189.5,"elo":1522,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":440.5,"y":204.2,"elo":1511,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":12,"x":469.5,"y":183.1,"elo":1527,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":525.1,"y":201.7,"elo":1513,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":586.3,"y":225.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Paul Craig","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":606.4,"y":198.8,"elo":1515,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":16,"x":620.8,"y":178.8,"elo":1531,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":643.1,"y":153.1,"elo":1551,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":18,"x":764.4,"y":175.2,"elo":1533,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Dominick Reyes","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":19,"x":781.1,"y":199.7,"elo":1514,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Bogdan Guskov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":20,"x":810,"y":177,"elo":1532,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Modestas Bukauskas W +18
Jul 26, 2025 Bogdan Guskov L -19
Apr 12, 2025 Dominick Reyes L -17
Mar 11, 2023 Ryan Spann W +20
Oct 22, 2022 Volkan Oezdemir W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
10 / 12
Finish rate
KO
5
42% of wins
SUB
5
42% of wins
DEC
2
17% of wins
KO: 5 (42%) 5 Sub: 5 (42%) 5 Dec: 2 (17%) 2
Finishes by round
10 total
R1
6 60%
R2
3 30%
R3
1 10%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 638 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
57% Distance
  • Distance 57%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 20%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
78%
of losses by finish
7 of 9 · usually R1
3 KO/TKO 4 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1584
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Ryan Spann
Elo 1615 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.1
+1.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 21 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1470
1552
Notable wins
Ryan Spann 1615

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Nikita Krylov on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.