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Nikita Krylov

Active #14 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1583 ±39
LCB 1533
Rank
#14
top 28% of division
UFC record
12-9-0
KO 5 · Sub 5 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Aug 31, 2013 — L vs Soa Palelei Δ-36Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Walt Harris Δ+34Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ-27Jul 19, 2014 — W vs Cody Donovan Δ+32Jan 24, 2015 — W vs Stanislav Nedkov Δ+33Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Δ+20May 8, 2016 — W vs Francimar Barroso Δ+18Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+18Dec 10, 2016 — L vs Misha Cirkunov Δ-18Sep 15, 2018 — L vs Jan Blachowicz Δ-20Apr 13, 2019 — W vs Ovince Saint Preux Δ+21Sep 14, 2019 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-12Mar 14, 2020 — W vs Johnny Walker Δ+17Feb 27, 2021 — L vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ-15Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Paul Craig Δ-19Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ+21Oct 22, 2022 — W vs Volkan Oezdemir Δ+16Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Ryan Spann Δ+20Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Dominick Reyes Δ-17Jul 26, 2025 — L vs Bogdan Guskov Δ-19Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Modestas Bukauskas Δ+18 14241479153315881642 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":197.1,"elo":1464,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Soa Palelei","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":51.7,"y":164.3,"elo":1498,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Walt Harris","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":60.9,"y":190.6,"elo":1471,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":84.6,"y":159.2,"elo":1503,"date":"2014-07-19","opp":"Cody Donovan","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":120.1,"y":127.5,"elo":1536,"date":"2015-01-24","opp":"Stanislav Nedkov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":159.8,"y":108.4,"elo":1555,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Marcos Rogerio de Lima","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":208.5,"y":90.6,"elo":1574,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Francimar Barroso","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":224.2,"y":72.8,"elo":1592,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":249.2,"y":90.8,"elo":1573,"date":"2016-12-10","opp":"Misha Cirkunov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":370.3,"y":110.7,"elo":1553,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Jan Blachowicz","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":10,"x":409.8,"y":90.5,"elo":1574,"date":"2019-04-13","opp":"Ovince Saint Preux","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":438.8,"y":101.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2019-09-14","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":12,"x":473,"y":85.6,"elo":1579,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Johnny Walker","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":13,"x":538.9,"y":99.8,"elo":1564,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":611.3,"y":118.1,"elo":1545,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Paul Craig","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":635,"y":97.6,"elo":1566,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":16,"x":652.1,"y":82.4,"elo":1582,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Volkan Oezdemir","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":678.5,"y":62.9,"elo":1602,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Ryan Spann","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":18,"x":822,"y":79.7,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Dominick Reyes","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":19,"x":841.8,"y":98.3,"elo":1566,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Bogdan Guskov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":81.1,"elo":1583,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Modestas Bukauskas","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Modestas Bukauskas W +18
Jul 26, 2025 Bogdan Guskov L -19
Apr 12, 2025 Dominick Reyes L -17
Mar 11, 2023 Ryan Spann W +20
Oct 22, 2022 Volkan Oezdemir W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.45 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.05 avg 3.42
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.62 avg 0.69
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
37% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
53% avg 76%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.97 avg 0.34
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
10 / 12
Finish rate
KO
5
42% of wins
SUB
5
42% of wins
DEC
2
17% of wins
KO: 5 (42%) 5 Sub: 5 (42%) 5 Dec: 2 (17%) 2
Finishes by round
10 total
R1
6 60%
R2
3 30%
R3
1 10%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1584
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.1
actual +2 vs expected