HonestElo
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Rodolfo Bellato

Active #25 light heavyweight
Elo rating
1538 ±35
LCB 1493
Rank
#25
top 52% of division
UFC record
2-1-1
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d +33 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Ihor Potieria Δ+32Feb 8, 2025 — D vs Jimmy Crute Δ+1Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Navajo Stirling Δ-27Mar 7, 2026 — W vs Luke Fernandez Δ+33 14661494152215501578 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":111.4,"elo":1532,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Ihor Potieria","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":1,"x":471.7,"y":109.1,"elo":1533,"date":"2025-02-08","opp":"Jimmy Crute","result":"D","delta":1},{"i":2,"x":709.9,"y":160.7,"elo":1506,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Navajo Stirling","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":99.3,"elo":1538,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Luke Fernandez","result":"W","delta":33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Luke Fernandez W +33
Sep 27, 2025 Navajo Stirling L -27
Feb 8, 2025 Jimmy Crute D +1
Dec 2, 2023 Ihor Potieria W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.38 avg 3.60
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
59% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
6.13 avg 3.28
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 50%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.33 avg 0.70
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 75%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1520
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual 0 vs expected