HonestElo
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Jan Blachowicz

Active #9 light heavyweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1623 ±42
LCB 1569
Rank
#9
top 17% of division
UFC record
12-8-2
KO 5 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
0
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
D by Decision

Elo history

22 fights · tap & drag
Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Ilir Latifi Δ+37Apr 11, 2015 — L vs Jimi Manuwa Δ-27Sep 5, 2015 — L vs Corey Anderson Δ-27Apr 10, 2016 — W vs Igor Pokrajac Δ+27Sep 3, 2016 — L vs Alexander Gustafsson Δ-20Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Patrick Cummins Δ-14Oct 21, 2017 — W vs Devin Clark Δ+21Dec 16, 2017 — W vs Jared Cannonier Δ+18Mar 17, 2018 — W vs Jimi Manuwa Δ+20Sep 15, 2018 — W vs Nikita Krylov Δ+21Feb 23, 2019 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-14Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Luke Rockhold Δ+24Nov 16, 2019 — W vs Jacare Souza Δ+20Feb 15, 2020 — W vs Corey Anderson Δ+21Sep 26, 2020 — W vs Dominick Reyes Δ+26Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Israel Adesanya Δ+27Oct 30, 2021 — L vs Glover Teixeira Δ-19May 14, 2022 — W vs Aleksandar Rakic Δ+18Dec 10, 2022 — D vs Magomed Ankalaev Δ+1Jul 29, 2023 — L vs Alex Pereira Δ-17Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Carlos Ulberg Δ-16Dec 6, 2025 — D vs Bogdan Guskov Δ-1 14351500156616321698 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":153.5,"elo":1537,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Ilir Latifi","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":63.5,"y":175,"elo":1510,"date":"2015-04-11","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":94.1,"y":197,"elo":1483,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Corey Anderson","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":139.7,"y":175.7,"elo":1510,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Igor Pokrajac","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":170.1,"y":192.1,"elo":1489,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Alexander Gustafsson","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":5,"x":215.4,"y":203.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":256.4,"y":186.7,"elo":1496,"date":"2017-10-21","opp":"Devin Clark","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":7,"x":268.1,"y":171.8,"elo":1514,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":287.1,"y":156.1,"elo":1534,"date":"2018-03-17","opp":"Jimi Manuwa","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":325,"y":139.6,"elo":1554,"date":"2018-09-15","opp":"Nikita Krylov","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":358.7,"y":151.2,"elo":1540,"date":"2019-02-23","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":386.4,"y":132,"elo":1564,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":12,"x":414.2,"y":115.5,"elo":1584,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":433.2,"y":98.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2020-02-15","opp":"Corey Anderson","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":14,"x":480,"y":77.7,"elo":1631,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Dominick Reyes","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":15,"x":513.6,"y":56.3,"elo":1658,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":16,"x":563.3,"y":71.8,"elo":1638,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Glover Teixeira","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":17,"x":604.2,"y":57.7,"elo":1656,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Aleksandar Rakic","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":18,"x":648,"y":57,"elo":1657,"date":"2022-12-10","opp":"Magomed Ankalaev","result":"D","delta":1},{"i":19,"x":696.2,"y":70.8,"elo":1640,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Alex Pereira","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":821.9,"y":83.6,"elo":1624,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Carlos Ulberg","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":21,"x":876,"y":84.2,"elo":1623,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Bogdan Guskov","result":"D","delta":-1}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Bogdan Guskov D -1
Mar 22, 2025 Carlos Ulberg L -16
Jul 29, 2023 Alex Pereira L -17
Dec 10, 2022 Magomed Ankalaev D +1
May 14, 2022 Aleksandar Rakic W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.29 avg 3.67
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 53%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.91 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 49%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.90 avg 0.71
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
49% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 76%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.33 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
5
42% of wins
SUB
2
17% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 5 (42%) 5 Sub: 2 (17%) 2 Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
2 29%
R2
4 57%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1635
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.7
actual +2 vs expected