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Derek Brunson

Inactive · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1616 ±37
LCB 1568
Rank
—
—
UFC record
14-7-0
KO 7 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d -24 · Δ1y -24
Last fight
Mar 4, 2023
L by KO

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Dec 29, 2012 — W vs Chris Leben Δ+36Nov 6, 2013 — W vs Brian Houston Δ+30Jan 15, 2014 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-32Aug 30, 2014 — W vs Lorenz Larkin Δ+23Jan 31, 2015 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+35Aug 8, 2015 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+18Feb 21, 2016 — W vs Roan Carneiro Δ+13Sep 17, 2016 — W vs Uriah Hall Δ+14Nov 26, 2016 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-20Feb 11, 2017 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-11Jun 10, 2017 — W vs Daniel Kelly Δ+19Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Lyoto Machida Δ+19Jan 27, 2018 — L vs Jacare Souza Δ-17Nov 3, 2018 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-20May 4, 2019 — W vs Elias Theodorou Δ+17Aug 17, 2019 — W vs Ian Heinisch Δ+14Aug 1, 2020 — W vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ+18Mar 20, 2021 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+14Sep 4, 2021 — W vs Darren Till Δ+15Feb 12, 2022 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-23Mar 4, 2023 — L vs Dricus Du Plessis Δ-20 14931550160816661723 20142016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":196.7,"elo":1536,"date":"2012-12-29","opp":"Chris Leben","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":95.5,"y":169.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Brian Houston","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":111.6,"y":199.2,"elo":1533,"date":"2014-01-15","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":3,"x":163.6,"y":177.7,"elo":1556,"date":"2014-08-30","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":198.9,"y":145.7,"elo":1591,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":242.2,"y":129.3,"elo":1609,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":287.4,"y":117.7,"elo":1621,"date":"2016-02-21","opp":"Roan Carneiro","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":335.3,"y":104.5,"elo":1636,"date":"2016-09-17","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":351.3,"y":122.8,"elo":1616,"date":"2016-11-26","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":369,"y":133,"elo":1605,"date":"2017-02-11","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":10,"x":396.2,"y":115.6,"elo":1624,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Daniel Kelly","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":428.3,"y":97.9,"elo":1643,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":449.2,"y":114,"elo":1626,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":513.4,"y":132.3,"elo":1606,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":555.1,"y":116.6,"elo":1623,"date":"2019-05-04","opp":"Elias Theodorou","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":579.2,"y":104.1,"elo":1636,"date":"2019-08-17","opp":"Ian Heinisch","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":16,"x":659.4,"y":88,"elo":1654,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":17,"x":712.3,"y":74.9,"elo":1668,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":750.8,"y":60.8,"elo":1683,"date":"2021-09-04","opp":"Darren Till","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":19,"x":787.8,"y":82.2,"elo":1660,"date":"2022-02-12","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":100.4,"elo":1640,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Dricus Du Plessis","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 4, 2023 Dricus Du Plessis L -20
Feb 12, 2022 Jared Cannonier L -23
Sep 4, 2021 Darren Till W +15
Mar 20, 2021 Kevin Holland W +14
Aug 1, 2020 Edmen Shahbazyan W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.01 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.67 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.51 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
32% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
84% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.49 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
64%
9 / 14
Finish rate
KO
7
50% of wins
SUB
2
14% of wins
DEC
5
36% of wins
KO: 7 (50%) 7 Sub: 2 (14%) 2 Dec: 5 (36%) 5
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
7 78%
R2
R3
2 22%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1614
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
11.0
actual +3 vs expected