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Ed Herman "Short Fuse"

Inactive · age 45 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 205 lb 93 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 69% of wins by KO or submission
  • 31% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2006
Elo rating
1491
Global Elo 1535 ±34
Rank
—
—
UFC record
13-12-0
KO 4 · Sub 5 · Dec 4
Streak
-2
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Apr 15, 2023
Loss by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 2m
Avg fight time
9:40
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
1.5
Ground control
1h 6m
Since last fight
3y 2mo

Honest Elo history

25 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2006 — L vs Kendall Grove Δ-36Oct 10, 2006 — L vs Jason MacDonald Δ-30Jan 25, 2007 — W vs Chris Price Δ+37Jun 16, 2007 — W vs Scott Smith Δ+33Nov 17, 2007 — W vs Joe Doerksen Δ+29Apr 19, 2008 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-18Sep 17, 2008 — L vs Alan Belcher Δ-16Apr 18, 2009 — W vs David Loiseau Δ+19Aug 29, 2009 — L vs Aaron Simpson Δ-17Jun 4, 2011 — W vs Tim Credeur Δ+22Aug 14, 2011 — W vs Kyle Noke Δ+22Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Clifford Starks Δ+18Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Trevor Smith Δ+13Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-15May 10, 2014 — W vs Rafael Natal Δ+15Jan 31, 2015 — L vs Derek Brunson Δ-19Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Tim Boetsch Δ+18Jul 30, 2016 — L vs Nikita Krylov Δ-18Jul 7, 2017 — L vs CB Dollaway Δ-17Oct 27, 2018 — L vs Gian Villante Δ-17May 18, 2019 — W vs Patrick Cummins Δ+19Nov 9, 2019 — W vs Khadis Ibragimov Δ+13Sep 12, 2020 — W vs Mike Rodriguez Δ+16Aug 7, 2021 — L vs Alonzo Menifield Δ-17Apr 15, 2023 — L vs Zak Cummings Δ-15 135014001450150015501600 20092012201520182021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":319.2,"elo":1421,"date":"2006-06-24","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":102.7,"y":357.3,"elo":1391,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"Jason MacDonald","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":115.2,"y":310.5,"elo":1428,"date":"2007-01-25","opp":"Chris Price","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":131.9,"y":268.7,"elo":1460,"date":"2007-06-16","opp":"Scott Smith","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":149.9,"y":232.2,"elo":1489,"date":"2007-11-17","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":168,"y":255.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":185.7,"y":275.7,"elo":1455,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Alan Belcher","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":210.7,"y":251.4,"elo":1474,"date":"2009-04-18","opp":"David Loiseau","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":226.3,"y":273.8,"elo":1456,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Aaron Simpson","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":301.8,"y":245.8,"elo":1478,"date":"2011-06-04","opp":"Tim Credeur","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":10,"x":310.1,"y":217.1,"elo":1501,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Kyle Noke","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":11,"x":330.5,"y":194.6,"elo":1518,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Clifford Starks","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":393.8,"y":177.7,"elo":1532,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Trevor Smith","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":406.9,"y":197.4,"elo":1516,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":427.4,"y":178.4,"elo":1531,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Rafael Natal","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":458.6,"y":203.3,"elo":1512,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":499.8,"y":180.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Tim Boetsch","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":17,"x":522.7,"y":204.3,"elo":1511,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Nikita Krylov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":562.8,"y":226.4,"elo":1493,"date":"2017-07-07","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":19,"x":618.7,"y":248.2,"elo":1476,"date":"2018-10-27","opp":"Gian Villante","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":20,"x":642.5,"y":224.5,"elo":1495,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Patrick Cummins","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":21,"x":663,"y":208.3,"elo":1508,"date":"2019-11-09","opp":"Khadis Ibragimov","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":22,"x":699.2,"y":187.7,"elo":1524,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Mike Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":23,"x":737.8,"y":210.1,"elo":1506,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Alonzo Menifield","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":810,"y":229.9,"elo":1491,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 15, 2023 Zak Cummings L -15
Aug 7, 2021 Alonzo Menifield L -17
Sep 12, 2020 Mike Rodriguez W +16
Nov 9, 2019 Khadis Ibragimov W +13
May 18, 2019 Patrick Cummins W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
69%
9 / 13
Finish rate
KO
4
31% of wins
SUB
5
38% of wins
DEC
4
31% of wins
KO: 4 (31%) 4 Sub: 5 (38%) 5 Dec: 4 (31%) 4
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
4 44%
R2
3 33%
R3
2 22%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 830 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
51% Distance
  • Distance 51%
  • Clinch 27%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
6 of 12 · usually R2
4 KO/TKO 2 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 13 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Kyle Noke
Elo 1597 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
12.5
+0.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 25 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1606

Top light heavyweight

See full rankings →
Carlos Ulberg C
#1 · Elo 1670
Magomed Ankalaev
#2 · Elo 1654
Azamat Murzakanov
#3 · Elo 1611
Navajo Stirling
#4 · Elo 1604
Paulo Costa
#5 · Elo 1592
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Ed Herman on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.