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Marvin Vettori "The Italian Dream"

Active #36 middleweight · age 32 · Southpaw · 6'0" 183 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Elo rating
1501
Global Elo 1548 ±36
Rank
#36
top 50% of division
UFC record
9-8-1
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 7
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -28
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 9m
Avg fight time
17:09
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
1.9
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Aug 20, 2016 — W vs Alberto Uda Δ+30Dec 30, 2016 — L vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ-28Jun 25, 2017 — W vs Vitor Miranda Δ+32Dec 30, 2017 — D vs Omari Akhmedov Δ+1Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-29Jul 13, 2019 — W vs Cezar Ferreira Δ+19Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Andrew Sanchez Δ+16Jun 13, 2020 — W vs Karl Roberson Δ+19Dec 5, 2020 — W vs Jack Hermansson Δ+18Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Kevin Holland Δ+17Jun 12, 2021 — L vs Israel Adesanya Δ-13Oct 23, 2021 — W vs Paulo Costa Δ+19Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Robert Whittaker Δ-12Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Roman Dolidze Δ+17Jun 17, 2023 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-15Mar 15, 2025 — L vs Roman Dolidze Δ-15Jul 19, 2025 — L vs Brendan Allen Δ-12Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Brunno Ferreira Δ-16 14251450147515001525155015751600 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":303,"elo":1484,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Alberto Uda","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":118,"y":354.8,"elo":1455,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":155.5,"y":296.6,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-06-25","opp":"Vitor Miranda","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":195.4,"y":294.6,"elo":1488,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"D","delta":1},{"i":4,"x":217.7,"y":348,"elo":1459,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":314.2,"y":312.5,"elo":1478,"date":"2019-07-13","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":333.5,"y":282.7,"elo":1495,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":385.4,"y":247.8,"elo":1514,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Karl Roberson","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":422.5,"y":214.3,"elo":1532,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Jack Hermansson","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":449.3,"y":183.3,"elo":1549,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Kevin Holland","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":462.6,"y":207,"elo":1536,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Israel Adesanya","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":11,"x":490.8,"y":173,"elo":1555,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Paulo Costa","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":12,"x":557.6,"y":195.1,"elo":1543,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Robert Whittaker","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":13,"x":599.2,"y":163.3,"elo":1560,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":14,"x":618.5,"y":191.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":15,"x":753.6,"y":218.4,"elo":1530,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":780.3,"y":240.9,"elo":1518,"date":"2025-07-19","opp":"Brendan Allen","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":17,"x":810,"y":270.3,"elo":1501,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Brunno Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Brunno Ferreira L -16
Jul 19, 2025 Brendan Allen L -12
Mar 15, 2025 Roman Dolidze L -15
Jun 17, 2023 Jared Cannonier L -15
Mar 18, 2023 Roman Dolidze W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
22%
2 / 9
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
22% of wins
DEC
7
78% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (22%) 2 Dec: 7 (78%) 7
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1464 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
78% Head
  • Head 78%
  • Body 10%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 8 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1615
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Paulo Costa
Elo 1639 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.2
+0.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 18 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1463
1562
Notable wins
Paulo Costa 1639 Roman Dolidze 1619 Jack Hermansson 1610 Kevin Holland 1600

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Marvin Vettori on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.